Auburn @ Ole Miss

Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Unranked at No. 12

Ole Miss 45, Auburn 15Ole Miss was favored by 11, and Ole Miss covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Ole Miss had won 15 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 16.
Ole Miss had beaten 13 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 14.
Ole Miss was 2.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 39th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+19.0 against the line this game.

Auburn’s penalty yards were 27.6 higher vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 75 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 3.5 over expected.
Auburn was 0.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 81st of 136, and 10.4 better away than at home over its last 25, 4th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−19.0 against the line this game.

Auburn leads the series 35–13 since 1928. Ole Miss has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

Ole Miss had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Ole Miss had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Ole Miss was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
At home, Ole Miss’ points allowed were 12.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.8 under expected.
Against an unranked opponent, Ole Miss’ third-down conversion rate were 13.2% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 41.7% over expected.
Auburn had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Auburn was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
On the road, Auburn’s penalty yards were 29.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.5 over expected.
Against a ranked opponent, Auburn’s carries were 5.5 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.6 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.