Georgia @ Ole Miss

Sat, Nov 7 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · No. 2 at No. 12

The line has it Georgia 30, Ole Miss 27.Georgia −3.5, total 56.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Georgia at Ole Miss: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Georgia8 games	Ole Miss8 games
	+10.4	+10.8
	−8.2	−3.7
	+46	+72
	−68	+1
	+1.1	+1.5
	+25.6	+7.0
	+12.8%	+9.0%
	+1.0	−0.1
	−11.1	+10.4
	+0.9	+0.3
	0.0	+0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Ole Miss

Ole Miss has won 16 straight at home.streakthe runs →
Ole Miss has beaten 14 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →
Ole Miss is 4.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 23rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Georgia

Georgia has covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →
Georgia has won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →
Georgia is 3.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 32nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

Georgia leads the series 34–14–1 since 1940.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Ole Miss has won 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Ole Miss has covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
Without JT Lindsey, Ole Miss’ rushing yards are 156.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Makhi Frazier, Ole Miss’ pass attempts are 17.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Kewan Lacy, Ole Miss’ third-down conversion rate are 17.2% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Georgia has won 8 of its last 10.countits form →
Georgia has covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Georgia has won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →
Georgia is 5–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Without KJ Bolden, Georgia’s carries are 11.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Nate Frazier, Georgia’s points allowed are 10.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Since Chauncey Bowens’ last game, Georgia’s points allowed are 10.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Jan 1, 2026	neutral	Ole Miss 39, Georgia 34
Oct 18, 2025	at Georgia	Georgia 43, Ole Miss 35
Nov 9, 2024	at Ole Miss	Ole Miss 28, Georgia 10
Nov 11, 2023	at Georgia	Georgia 52, Ole Miss 17
Nov 3, 2012	at Georgia	Georgia 37, Ole Miss 10
Sep 24, 2011	at Ole Miss	Georgia 27, Ole Miss 13
Sep 29, 2007	at Georgia	Georgia 45, Ole Miss 17
Sep 30, 2006	at Ole Miss	Georgia 14, Ole Miss 9
Nov 9, 2002	at Georgia	Georgia 31, Ole Miss 17
Nov 17, 2001	at Ole Miss	Georgia 35, Ole Miss 15

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.