Putting Up Numbers· college football

Delaware @ Western Kentucky

Tue, Oct 27, 2026

Delaware 35, Western Kentucky 21Western Kentucky was favored by 2.5, and Delaware covered.

Delaware at Western Kentucky: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameDelaware1 gameWestern Kentucky1 game
Points+6.6−10.5
Points allowed−2.6+11.2
Total offense, yards+122+57
Total defense, yards+112+142
Touchdowns+1.6−0.8
Passer rating+73.6−36.7
Third downs+14.7%−11.8%
Sacks+0.9−1.8
Penalty yards+15.5−22.6
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+0.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Western Kentucky

Delaware

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Western Kentucky

  • Western Kentucky had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Western Kentucky had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Western Kentucky was 2.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 105th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−16.5 against the line this game.

Delaware

  • Delaware was 0.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 63rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+16.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, Western Kentucky’s points allowed were 17.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.7 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Western Kentucky’s points allowed were 11.7 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.7 over expected.
  • At night, Western Kentucky’s carries were 5.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.6 under expected.
  • On the road, Delaware’s points of margin were 13.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.9 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Delaware’s points were 7.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.7 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 27, 2026at Western KentuckyDelaware 35, Western Kentucky 21
Oct 3, 2025at DelawareWestern Kentucky 27, Delaware 24

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 26, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.