UTSA @ 
Tulane
UTSA 42, Tulane 19UTSA was favored by 3, and UTSA covered.
| a game | UTSA1 game | Tulane1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +18.8 | −11.5 |
| Points allowed | −5.6 | +15.8 |
| Total offense, yards | +5 | −71 |
| Total defense, yards | −33 | +25 |
| Touchdowns | +3.3 | −2.6 |
| Passer rating | −16.3 | −48.3 |
| Third downs | +34.7% | +7.7% |
| Sacks | +1.0 | −0.9 |
| Penalty yards | +3.4 | +2.1 |
| Turnovers forced | +4.8 | +1.7 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.8 | +4.9 |
Who put up numbers
Tulane
- Passing yardsTrace Johnson265 passing yards
- Rushing yardsJohnnie Daniels104 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsJohnnie Daniels1 rushing touchdown
UTSA
Analysis
Tulane
- Tulane had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Tulane was 1.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 59th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−20.0 against the line this game.
UTSA
- UTSA’s points were 24.0 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 19.0 over expected.
- UTSA had beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.
- UTSA had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- UTSA had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- UTSA was 0.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 68th of 136, and 16.2 worse away than at home over its last 25, 135th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+20.0 against the line this game.
The series
- UTSA leads the series 3–1 since 2013. UTSA has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Tulane was 3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, Tulane’s total yards were 89.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.1 under expected.
- At home, Tulane’s pass attempts were 6.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.0 over expected.
- UTSA was 2–2–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- On the road, UTSA’s penalty yards were 37.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.8 under expected.
- In a conference game, UTSA’s carries were 3.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.7 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at Tulane | UTSA 42, Tulane 19 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | at UTSA | UTSA 48, Tulane 26 |
| Nov 24, 2023 | at Tulane | Tulane 29, UTSA 16 |
| Nov 9, 2013 | at UTSA | UTSA 10, Tulane 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.