Putting Up Numbers· college football

Tulsa @ Tulane

Sat, Nov 7 · Yulman Stadium

The line has it Tulsa 26, Tulane 24.Tulsa −1.5, total 50, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Tulsa at Tulane: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameTulsa8 gamesTulane8 games
−0.9−6.1
+1.0−2.8
−37−47
+30+31
+0.1−1.2
−9.9−19.2
−8.3%+2.7%
+0.4+0.3
−6.2−0.9
+0.80.0
−0.6+0.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Tulane

  • Tulane is 1.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 90th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Tulsa

  • Tulsa is 1.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 56th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • Tulsa leads the series 13–8 since 1968. Tulane has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Tulane has won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
  • Tulane is 3–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
  • Without Maurice Turner, Tulane’s carries are 7.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Since Kadin Semonza’s last game, Tulane’s points allowed are 6.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Trace Johnson, Tulane’s points are 5.9 under expected in 5 games. A −12.2 difference in points over expected without Trace Johnson vs with Trace Johnson is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were without Trace Johnson and it comes up 7 times in 100.thinwithout him →
  • Without Baylor Hayes, Tulsa’s points are 19.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 27, 2025at TulsaTulane 31, Tulsa 14
Nov 11, 2023at TulaneTulane 24, Tulsa 22
Nov 5, 2022at TulsaTulane 27, Tulsa 13
Nov 13, 2021at TulaneTulsa 20, Tulane 13
Nov 19, 2020at TulsaTulsa 30, Tulane 24
Nov 2, 2019at TulaneTulane 38, Tulsa 26
Oct 27, 2018at TulsaTulane 24, Tulsa 17
Oct 7, 2017at TulaneTulane 62, Tulsa 28
Oct 22, 2016at TulsaTulsa 50, Tulane 27
Nov 27, 2015at TulaneTulsa 45, Tulane 34

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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