Utah State @ 
Texas State
Texas State 20, Utah State 17Texas State was favored by 14, and Utah State covered.
| a game | Utah State1 game | Texas State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −13.8 | −7.2 |
| Points allowed | −15.8 | +0.4 |
| Total offense, yards | −116 | −133 |
| Total defense, yards | −240 | −36 |
| Touchdowns | −2.9 | −1.8 |
| Passer rating | −22.4 | −26.0 |
| Third downs | −10.8% | +14.6% |
| Sacks | +2.6 | −1.6 |
| Penalty yards | −21.4 | −11.0 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −1.3 |
Who put up numbers
Texas State
- Passing yardsBrad Jackson167 passing yards
- Rushing yardsTorrance Burgess Jr.51 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsBrad Jackson1 rushing touchdown
Utah State
Analysis
Texas State
- Texas State was 2.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 45th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−11.0 against the line this game.
Utah State
- Utah State was 0.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 74th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+11.0 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 1–1 since 2012.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Texas State had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Texas State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Texas State had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Texas State was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- At home, Texas State’s rushing yards were 161.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 133.5 under expected.
- At night, Texas State’s pass attempts were 16.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.6 over expected.
- In a conference game, Texas State’s carries were 12.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.8 under expected.
- Utah State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Utah State had covered 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Utah State’s penalty yards were 41.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 25.2 under expected.
- At night, Utah State’s third-down conversion rate were 20.5% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.7% under expected.
- In a conference game, Utah State’s third-down conversion rate were 12.7% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.7% under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at Texas State | Texas State 20, Utah State 17 |
| Nov 3, 2012 | at Utah State | Utah State 38, Texas State 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.