Texas State
4–4 · 2–2 Pac-12 · G.J. Kinne, 4th season
Lost to Boise State 46–45, Oct 31 · Next: at Oregon State, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
- The 6th-most rushing yards of 136 teams this season, 2,033 (254.1 a game).
Against the closing line
Texas State has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, by 2.6 points a game. Over the season it’s 1.9 a game over, 50th of 136.
Of the 7 teams at 4–4 against a schedule this hard, Texas State’s +1.9 is 2nd.
last 4
+2.6
before
+1.1
-20020
Oct 3, 2026 @ San Diego State −12.0
Oct 15, 2026 vs Colorado State +24.0
Oct 24, 2026 vs Utah State −11.0
Oct 31, 2026 @ Boise State +9.5
Lately
- Won 4 straight at homestreak
Sep 19 vs North Texas +14- I Sep 26 vs Incarnate Word +53
- Oct 15 vs Colorado State +39
- Oct 24 vs Utah State +3
the games, with the score
Texas State has won 4 straight at home. Every game of it. Date Game Result Score Sep 19, 2026 Texas State vsNorth TexasW 49–35 Sep 26, 2026 Texas State vs
Incarnate WordW 63–10 Oct 15, 2026 Texas State vsColorado StateW 66–27 Oct 24, 2026 Texas State vsUtah StateW 20–17 - Beat 8 of its last 10 unranked opponentscount
Nov 15, 2025 @ Southern Miss +27
Nov 22, 2025 vs Louisiana Monroe +17
Nov 29, 2025 vs South Alabama +23
Jan 2, 2026 vs Rice +31
Sep 12 vs UTSA −5- Sep 19 vs North Texas +14
- I Sep 26 vs Incarnate Word +53
- Oct 3 @ San Diego State −2
- Oct 15 vs Colorado State +39
- Oct 24 vs Utah State +3
- Covered 6 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 vs South Alabama +13.5
- Jan 2, 2026 vs Rice +11.5
Sep 5 @ Texas −22.5- Sep 12 vs UTSA −6.5
- Sep 19 vs North Texas +11
- I Sep 26 vs Incarnate Word +22.5
- Oct 3 @ San Diego State −12
- Oct 15 vs Colorado State +24
- Oct 24 vs Utah State −11
- Oct 31 @ Boise State +9.5
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +5.9 · 27th | +7.7 · 116th |
| Total yards | +101 · 9th | +36 · 101st |
| Touchdowns | +0.9 · 26th | +1.1 · 117th |
| Passing efficiency | +11.2 · 42nd | +6.8 · 89th |
| 3rd downs | +12.4% · 8th | −0.1% · 66th |
| Turnovers | +0.2 · 94th | −0.5 · 119th |
| Sacks | −0.6 · 32nd | −1.2 · 128th |
| Penalty yards | −1.8 · 63rd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.