Rutgers @ 
Northwestern
Northwestern 42, Rutgers 14Northwestern was favored by 15.5, and Northwestern covered.
| a game | Rutgers1 game | Northwestern1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −6.8 | +8.6 |
| Points allowed | +11.4 | −10.7 |
| Total offense, yards | −16 | +71 |
| Total defense, yards | +88 | −11 |
| Touchdowns | −1.5 | +2.0 |
| Passer rating | −84.3 | +31.4 |
| Third downs | −0.2% | +26.6% |
| Sacks | −1.2 | +1.5 |
| Penalty yards | −21.5 | −4.2 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.3 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.7 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
Northwestern
- Passing yardsAidan Chiles219 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsAidan Chiles3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsCaleb Komolafe150 rushing yards
Rutgers
Analysis
Northwestern
- Northwestern had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.
- Northwestern had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
- Northwestern was 10.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 7th of 136, and 14.1 better at home than away over its last 25, 5th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.5 against the line this game.
Rutgers
- Rutgers’ passing yards were 106.3 lower vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 77th of 77 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 167.4 under expected.
- Rutgers was 3.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 105th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Rutgers leads the series 4–3 since 1919.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Northwestern had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Northwestern had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Northwestern was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, Northwestern’s pass attempts were 9.0 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.6 under expected.
- In a conference game, Northwestern’s carries were 3.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.5 over expected.
- Rutgers had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Rutgers was 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, Rutgers’ third-down conversion rate were 14.2% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.3% under expected.
- In a conference game, Rutgers’ third-down conversion rate were 8.2% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.3% under expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, Rutgers’ points allowed were 8.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at Northwestern | Northwestern 42, Rutgers 14 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | at Rutgers | Rutgers 24, Northwestern 7 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | at Northwestern | Northwestern 21, Rutgers 7 |
| Oct 20, 2018 | at Rutgers | Northwestern 18, Rutgers 15 |
| Sep 21, 1991 | at Rutgers | Rutgers 22, Northwestern 18 |
| Sep 23, 1989 | at Northwestern | Rutgers 38, Northwestern 27 |
| Nov 27, 1919 | neutral | Rutgers 28, Northwestern 0 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.