Putting Up Numbers· college football

Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Louisiana Tech 26, Old Dominion 0Louisiana Tech was favored by 13.5, and Louisiana Tech covered.

Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameOld Dominion1 gameLouisiana Tech1 game
Points−23.8−5.2
Points allowed−5.3−17.4
Total offense, yards−236+60
Total defense, yards+52−151
Touchdowns−3.1−0.2
Passer rating−48.2+28.5
Third downs−0.2%+21.7%
Sacks+0.7+2.3
Penalty yards−29.8+14.8
Turnovers forced−1.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.4−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Louisiana Tech

Old Dominion

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Louisiana Tech

  • Louisiana Tech’s total yards were 153.5 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 79.7 over expected.
  • Louisiana Tech’s third-down conversion rate were 18.7% higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 134 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 23.2% over expected.
  • Louisiana Tech had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Louisiana Tech had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Louisiana Tech was 7.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 13th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.5 against the line this game.

Old Dominion

  • Old Dominion was 9.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 135th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Louisiana Tech had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Louisiana Tech had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Louisiana Tech had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Louisiana Tech’s passing yards were 71.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 98.2 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Louisiana Tech’s passing yards were 50.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 98.2 over expected.
  • Old Dominion had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Old Dominion was 1–4 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • On the road, Old Dominion’s carries were 7.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 12.4 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Old Dominion’s total yards were 72.4 under expected in 4 games. A −107.0 difference in total yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 14 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 155.3 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech 26, Old Dominion 0
Oct 30, 2021at Old DominionOld Dominion 23, Louisiana Tech 20
Nov 22, 2014at Old DominionOld Dominion 30, Louisiana Tech 27

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.