Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Monroe @ Troy

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Louisiana Monroe 21, Troy 14Troy was favored by 13.5, and Louisiana Monroe covered.

Louisiana Monroe at Troy: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLouisiana Monroe1 gameTroy1 game
Points−3.4−25.6
Points allowed−11.5+2.4
Total offense, yards−123−265
Total defense, yards−193−85
Touchdowns−1.0−2.3
Passer rating−16.7−69.6
Third downs−11.2%−23.9%
Sacks+2.0−0.1
Penalty yards−27.1−6.2
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Troy

Louisiana Monroe

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Troy

  • Troy had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Troy was 3.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 109th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−20.5 against the line this game.

Louisiana Monroe

  • Louisiana Monroe had lost 14 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Louisiana Monroe had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Louisiana Monroe was 10.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 136th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+20.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, Troy’s rushing yards were 103.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 99.4 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Troy’s rushing yards were 91.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 99.4 under expected.
  • Louisiana Monroe was 1–4 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • On the road, Louisiana Monroe’s penalty yards were 26.8 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.8 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Louisiana Monroe’s carries were 5.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.6 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at TroyLouisiana Monroe 21, Troy 14
Oct 18, 2025at Louisiana MonroeTroy 37, Louisiana Monroe 14
Sep 28, 2024at TroyLouisiana Monroe 13, Troy 9
Nov 11, 2023at Louisiana MonroeTroy 45, Louisiana Monroe 14
Nov 19, 2022at TroyTroy 34, Louisiana Monroe 16
Sep 25, 2021at Louisiana MonroeLouisiana Monroe 29, Troy 16
Sep 22, 2018at Louisiana MonroeTroy 35, Louisiana Monroe 27
Nov 7, 2015at TroyTroy 51, Louisiana Monroe 14
Sep 27, 2014at Louisiana MonroeLouisiana Monroe 22, Troy 20
Oct 31, 2013at TroyLouisiana Monroe 49, Troy 37

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.