Troy
4–4 · 2–2 Sun Belt · Gerad Parker, 3rd season
Beat James Madison 24–21, Oct 29 · Next: vs Louisiana Tech, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Troy has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, 3.1 points a game under it. Over the season it’s 2.9 a game under, 103rd of 136.
Of the 13 teams at 4–4 against a schedule this hard, Troy’s −2.9 is 12th.
last 4
−3.1
before
−2.8
-20020
Oct 6, 2026 vs Southern Miss +11.5
Oct 17, 2026 @ Louisiana −24.0
Oct 24, 2026 vs Louisiana Monroe −20.5
Oct 29, 2026 @ James Madison +20.5
Lately
- Won 7 of its last 10 at homecount
- N Aug 30, 2025 vs Nicholls +18
Sep 13, 2025 vs Memphis −21
Oct 4, 2025 vs South Alabama +7- Oct 25, 2025 vs Louisiana +12
Nov 1, 2025 vs Arkansas State −13
Nov 22, 2025 vs Georgia State +12
Sep 5 vs Sam Houston +3- A Sep 12 vs Alabama State +17
- Oct 6 vs Southern Miss +21
- Oct 24 vs Louisiana Monroe −7
- Covered 7 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Sep 20, 2025 @ Buffalo +9.5
Oct 11, 2025 @ Texas State +14.5- Oct 18, 2025 @ Louisiana Monroe +18.5
Nov 13, 2025 @ Old Dominion −23.5- Nov 29, 2025 @ Southern Miss +17
- Dec 5, 2025 @ James Madison +7.5
Sep 19 @ Missouri +16.5
Sep 26 @ Utah State −8- Oct 17 @ Louisiana −24
- Oct 29 @ James Madison +20.5
- Lost 6 of its last 10count
- Dec 5, 2025 @ James Madison −17
Dec 16, 2025 vs Jacksonville State −4- Sep 5 vs Sam Houston +3
- A Sep 12 vs Alabama State +17
- Sep 19 @ Missouri −10
- Sep 26 @ Utah State −11
- Oct 6 vs Southern Miss +21
- Oct 17 @ Louisiana −27
- Oct 24 vs Louisiana Monroe −7
- Oct 29 @ James Madison +3
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −5.3 · 101st | +0.6 · 71st |
| Total yards | −19 · 81st | −8 · 62nd |
| Touchdowns | −0.4 · 88th | +0.2 · 81st |
| Passing efficiency | −14.4 · 101st | −1.4 · 64th |
| 3rd downs | −5.4% · 106th | −1.1% · 56th |
| Turnovers | +0.2 · 98th | +0.5 · 19th |
| Sacks | +0.4 · 101st | −0.4 · 97th |
| Penalty yards | +11.7 · 110th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.