Putting Up Numbers· college football

Iowa @ Minnesota

Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · No. 15 at unranked

Minnesota 13, Iowa 10Iowa was favored by 8, and Minnesota covered.

Iowa at Minnesota: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameIowa1 gameMinnesota1 game
Points−12.5−7.6
Points allowed−14.2−15.3
Total offense, yards−54−140
Total defense, yards−138−76
Touchdowns−1.7−1.5
Passer rating−38.8−51.9
Third downs−9.9%−24.4%
Sacks+1.4−0.5
Penalty yards−30.2−6.5
Turnovers forced−0.2+2.7
Turnovers lost+2.7−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Minnesota

Iowa

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Minnesota

  • Minnesota was 1.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 82nd of 136, and 13.9 better at home than away over its last 25, 6th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+11.0 against the line this game.

Iowa

  • Iowa had covered 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Iowa had beaten 14 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Iowa was 6.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 15th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−11.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Minnesota had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Minnesota had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Iowa had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Iowa had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Iowa’s points were 11.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.9 under expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Iowa’s rushing yards were 58.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 61.1 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Iowa’s carries were 5.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at MinnesotaMinnesota 13, Iowa 10
Oct 25, 2025at IowaIowa 41, Minnesota 3
Sep 21, 2024at MinnesotaIowa 31, Minnesota 14
Oct 21, 2023at IowaMinnesota 12, Iowa 10
Nov 19, 2022at MinnesotaIowa 13, Minnesota 10
Nov 13, 2021at IowaIowa 27, Minnesota 22
Nov 13, 2020at MinnesotaIowa 35, Minnesota 7
Nov 16, 2019at IowaIowa 23, Minnesota 19
Oct 6, 2018at MinnesotaIowa 48, Minnesota 31
Oct 28, 2017at IowaIowa 17, Minnesota 10

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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