UCLA @ 
Minnesota
The line has it UCLA 23, Minnesota 17.UCLA −5.5, total 39.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.
| a game | UCLA8 games | Minnesota8 games |
|---|---|---|
| +5.3 | −5.0 | |
| −11.3 | −2.1 | |
| +48 | −84 | |
| −90 | −33 | |
| +0.7 | −1.0 | |
| −9.6 | −22.6 | |
| +4.8% | −12.1% | |
| +0.5 | +0.1 | |
| +18.9 | +4.2 | |
| +1.9 | +0.6 | |
| +0.2 | −0.1 |
Analysis
Minnesota
- Minnesota is 2.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 45th of 136, and 12.3 better at home than away over its last 25, 6th of 136.fact · rankedits form →
UCLA
- UCLA’s carries are 9.7 higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 134 teams.fact · rankedthe split →
- UCLA has covered 9 straight, the longest active cover streak in FBS.streakthe runs →
- UCLA has covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →
- UCLA has won 8 straight.streakthe runs →
- UCLA has beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →
- UCLA has covered 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →
- UCLA has won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →
- UCLA is 12.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 2nd of 136, and 11.1 better away than at home over its last 25, 3rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →
The series
- Minnesota leads the series 3–1 since 1961.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Minnesota has won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
- Minnesota has covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →
- Minnesota has won 7 of its last 10.countits form →
- Minnesota is 4–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
- Without Darius Taylor, Minnesota’s penalty yards are 14.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- Against a ranked opponent, Minnesota’s passing yards are 71.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
- Against a top-10 opponent, Minnesota’s passing yards are 65.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
- UCLA has won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →
- UCLA is 7–0 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
- Since Nico Iamaleava’s last game, UCLA’s points allowed are 12.0 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- On the road, UCLA’s pass attempts are 6.1 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
- In a conference game, UCLA’s total yards are 72.8 over expected in 5 games. A +149.6 difference in total yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 4 times in 100.thinthe split →
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | at UCLA | Minnesota 21, UCLA 17 |
| Sep 30, 1978 | at UCLA | UCLA 17, Minnesota 3 |
| Sep 24, 1977 | at Minnesota | Minnesota 27, UCLA 13 |
| Jan 1, 1962 | at UCLA | Minnesota 21, UCLA 3 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.