Minnesota
5–3 · 3–2 Big Ten · P.J. Fleck, 10th season
Lost to Indiana 23–16, Oct 31 · Next: vs No. 5 UCLA, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Minnesota has beaten the line in 3 of its last 4, by 1.5 points a game. Over the season it’s 2.2 a game over, 45th of 136.
Of the 12 teams at 5–3 against a schedule this hard, Minnesota’s +2.2 is 4th.
last 4
+1.5
before
+2.9
-200
Oct 3, 2026 vs Michigan +12.5
Oct 10, 2026 @ Purdue −31.0
Oct 24, 2026 vs Iowa +11.0
Oct 31, 2026 @ Indiana +13.5
Lately
- Won 9 of its last 10 at homecount
Sep 27, 2025 vs Rutgers +3- Oct 11, 2025 vs Purdue +7
Oct 17, 2025 vs Nebraska +18
Nov 1, 2025 vs Michigan State +3
Nov 29, 2025 vs Wisconsin +10- E Sep 3 vs Eastern Illinois +52
Sep 12 vs Mississippi State −25
Sep 19 vs Akron +34- Oct 3 vs Michigan +6
- Oct 24 vs Iowa +3
- Covered 8 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Wisconsin +12.5
Dec 26, 2025 vs New Mexico +1.5- E Sep 3 vs Eastern Illinois +9.5
- Sep 12 vs Mississippi State −24.5
- Sep 19 vs Akron +11.5
Sep 26 @ Washington +15- Oct 3 vs Michigan +12.5
- Oct 10 @ Purdue −31
- Oct 24 vs Iowa +11
- Oct 31 @ Indiana +13.5
- Won 7 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Wisconsin +10
- Dec 26, 2025 vs New Mexico +3
- E Sep 3 vs Eastern Illinois +52
- Sep 12 vs Mississippi State −25
- Sep 19 vs Akron +34
- Sep 26 @ Washington +3
- Oct 3 vs Michigan +6
- Oct 10 @ Purdue −28
- Oct 24 vs Iowa +3
- Oct 31 @ Indiana −7
- Beat 7 of its last 10 unranked opponentscount
- Nov 1, 2025 vs Michigan State +3
Nov 22, 2025 vs Northwestern −3- Nov 29, 2025 vs Wisconsin +10
- Dec 26, 2025 vs New Mexico +3
- E Sep 3 vs Eastern Illinois +52
- Sep 12 vs Mississippi State −25
- Sep 19 vs Akron +34
- Sep 26 @ Washington +3
- Oct 3 vs Michigan +6
- Oct 10 @ Purdue −28
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −5.0 · 98th | −2.1 · 51st |
| Total yards | −84 · 126th | −33 · 40th |
| Touchdowns | −1.0 · 116th | −0.3 · 55th |
| Passing efficiency | −22.6 · 125th | −17.9 · 21st |
| 3rd downs | −12.1% · 131st | −9.9% · 8th |
| Turnovers | −0.1 · 62nd | +0.6 · 12th |
| Sacks | −0.5 · 38th | +0.1 · 62nd |
| Penalty yards | −2.5 · 60th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
- 2026 5–3
- 2025 8–5
- 2024 8–5
- 2023 6–7
- 2022 9–4
- 2021 9–4
- 2020 3–4
- 2019 11–2
- 2018 7–6
- 2017 5–7
- 2016 9–4
- 2015 6–7
- 2014 8–5
- 2013 8–5
- 2012 6–7
- 2011 3–9
- 2010 3–9
- 2009 6–7
- 2008 7–6
- 2007 1–11
- 2006 6–7
- 2005 7–5
- 2004 7–5
- 2003 10–3
- 2002 8–5
- 2001 4–7
- 2000 6–6
- 1999 8–4
- 1998 5–6
- 1997 3–9
- 1996 4–7
- 1995 3–8
- 1994 3–8
- 1993 4–7
- 1992 2–9
- 1991 2–9
- 1990 6–5
- 1989 6–5
- 1988 2–7–2
- 1987 6–5
- 1986 6–6
- 1985 7–5
- 1984 4–7
- 1983 1–10
- 1982 3–8
- 1981 6–5
- 1980 5–6
- 1979 4–6–1
- 1978 5–6
- 1977 7–5
- 1976 6–5
- 1975 6–5
- 1974 4–7
- 1973 7–4
- 1972 4–7
- 1971 4–7
- 1970 3–6–1
- 1969 4–5–1
- 1968 6–4
- 1967 8–2
- 1966 4–5–1
- 1965 5–4–1
- 1964 5–4
- 1963 3–6
- 1962 6–2–1
- 1961 8–2
- 1960 8–2
- 1959 2–7
- 1958 1–8
- 1957 4–5
- 1956 6–1–2
- 1955 3–6
- 1954 7–2
- 1953 4–4–1
- 1952 4–3–2
- 1951 2–6–1
- 1950 1–7–1
- 1949 7–2
- 1948 7–2
- 1947 6–3
- 1946 5–4
- 1945 4–5
- 1944 5–3–1
- 1943 5–4
- 1942 5–4
- 1941 8–0
- 1940 8–0
- 1939 3–4–1
- 1938 6–2
- 1937 6–2
- 1936 7–1
- 1935 8–0
- 1934 8–0
- 1933 4–0–4
- 1932 5–3
- 1931 7–3
- 1930 3–4–1
- 1929 6–2
- 1928 6–2
- 1927 6–0–2
- 1926 5–3
- 1925 5–2–1
- 1924 3–3–2
- 1923 5–1–1
- 1922 3–3–1
- 1921 3–4
- 1920 1–6
- 1919 4–2–1
- 1918 5–2–1
- 1917 4–1
- 1916 6–1
- 1915 6–0–1
- 1914 6–1
- 1913 5–2
- 1912 4–3
- 1911 6–0–1
- 1910 6–1
- 1909 6–1
- 1908 3–2–1
- 1907 2–2–1
- 1906 4–1
- 1905 10–1
- 1904 13–0
- 1903 14–0–1
- 1902 9–2–1
- 1901 9–1–1
- 1900 10–0–2
- 1899 6–3–2
- 1898 4–5
- 1897 4–4
- 1896 8–2
- 1895 7–3
- 1894 3–1
- 1893 6–0
- 1892 5–0
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.