BYU @ 
UCF
UCF 39, BYU 31BYU was favored by 7.5, and UCF covered.
| a game | BYU1 game | UCF1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +6.9 | +16.1 |
| Points allowed | +10.9 | +4.6 |
| Total offense, yards | −8 | +132 |
| Total defense, yards | +112 | +7 |
| Touchdowns | +1.3 | +2.4 |
| Passer rating | −5.7 | +13.9 |
| Third downs | +7.3% | +17.4% |
| Sacks | −1.3 | −0.3 |
| Penalty yards | −12.3 | −12.6 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.3 | −1.1 |
Who put up numbers
UCF
- Passing yardsKeyone Jenkins293 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsKeyone Jenkins3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsDuke Watson94 rushing yards
BYU
Analysis
UCF
- UCF had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- UCF was 5.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 24th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+15.5 against the line this game.
BYU
- BYU had covered 7 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- BYU had beaten 16 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- BYU had won 7 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- BYU had covered 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- BYU had won 11 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- BYU was 4.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 26th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−15.5 against the line this game.
The series
- BYU leads the series 4–2 since 2011.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- UCF was 3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, UCF’s pass attempts were 14.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.6 over expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, UCF’s pass attempts were 11.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.6 over expected.
- In a conference game, UCF’s rushing yards were 36.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 57.6 over expected.
- BYU had won 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- BYU was 5–0 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, BYU’s passing yards were 95.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 28.8 over expected.
- In a conference game, BYU’s pass attempts were 3.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.2 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at UCF | UCF 39, BYU 31 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | at BYU | BYU 41, UCF 21 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | at UCF | BYU 37, UCF 24 |
| Dec 22, 2020 | neutral | BYU 49, UCF 23 |
| Oct 9, 2014 | at UCF | UCF 31, BYU 24 |
| Sep 23, 2011 | at BYU | BYU 24, UCF 17 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.