Putting Up Numbers· college football

BYU @ Utah

Sat, Nov 7 · Rice-Eccles Stadium · No. 7 at No. 3

The line has it Utah 27, BYU 22.Utah −5, total 49, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

BYU at Utah: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameBYU8 gamesUtah8 games
+1.6+8.2
−8.3−9.2
+6+82
−77−39
+0.5+1.3
+4.4+14.4
+7.2%+12.1%
+0.4+0.1
−6.0−0.6
−0.5+0.2
−0.1+0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Utah

  • Utah has won 14 straight, the longest active winning streak in FBS.streakthe runs →
  • Utah has covered 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • Utah has won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • Utah has beaten 17 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →
  • Utah has won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →
  • Utah is 6.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 16th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

BYU

  • BYU has won 12 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • BYU is 0.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 66th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • Utah leads the series 59–34–4 since 1922. BYU has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Utah has covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →
  • Utah has won 8 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →
  • Utah is 7–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • Without Steve Chavez-Soto, Utah’s pass attempts are 13.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Against a ranked opponent, Utah’s rushing yards are 76.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • At home, Utah’s points allowed are 7.4 under expected in 4 games. A −9.0 difference in points allowed over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 20 times in 100.thinthe split →
  • BYU has won 8 of its last 10.countits form →
  • BYU has covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →
  • BYU has won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →
  • Since Preston Rex’s last game, BYU’s rushing yards are 119.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Since LJ Martin’s last game, BYU’s passing yards are 51.6 over expected in 4 games. A +120.2 difference in passing yards over expected since LJ Martin’s last game vs with LJ Martin is unusual: shuffle which games were since LJ Martin’s last game and it comes up 3 times in 100.thinwithout him →
  • Without Journee Tonga, BYU’s points allowed are 6.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2025at BYUBYU 24, Utah 21
Nov 9, 2024at UtahBYU 22, Utah 21
Sep 11, 2021at BYUBYU 26, Utah 17
Aug 29, 2019at BYUUtah 30, BYU 12
Nov 24, 2018at UtahUtah 35, BYU 27
Sep 9, 2017at BYUUtah 19, BYU 13
Sep 10, 2016at UtahUtah 20, BYU 19
Dec 19, 2015neutralUtah 35, BYU 28
Sep 21, 2013at BYUUtah 20, BYU 13
Sep 15, 2012at UtahUtah 24, BYU 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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