Putting Up Numbers· college football

Baylor @ Kansas

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Kansas 25, Baylor 24Kansas was favored by 1.5, and Baylor covered.

Baylor at Kansas: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBaylor1 gameKansas1 game
Points+0.3+3.4
Points allowed−3.9−1.8
Total offense, yards−3+50
Total defense, yards0−40
Touchdowns−0.8+0.6
Passer rating+3.5−7.3
Third downs−3.8%−11.8%
Sacks+3.5−0.3
Penalty yards+58.1−26.6
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+0.6

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Kansas

Baylor

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Kansas

  • Kansas was 2.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 50th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.

Baylor

  • Baylor was 5.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 21st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Kansas had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Kansas’ rushing yards were 104.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 45.8 over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Kansas’ rushing yards were 84.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 45.8 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Kansas’ carries were 7.0 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.9 over expected.
  • On the road, Baylor’s points were 28.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.6 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Baylor’s pass attempts were 11.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.6 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at KansasKansas 25, Baylor 24
Nov 30, 2024at BaylorBaylor 45, Kansas 17
Oct 22, 2022at BaylorBaylor 35, Kansas 23
Sep 18, 2021at KansasBaylor 45, Kansas 7
Sep 26, 2020at BaylorBaylor 47, Kansas 14
Nov 30, 2019at KansasBaylor 61, Kansas 6
Sep 22, 2018at BaylorBaylor 26, Kansas 7
Nov 4, 2017at KansasBaylor 38, Kansas 9
Oct 15, 2016at BaylorBaylor 49, Kansas 7
Oct 10, 2015at KansasBaylor 66, Kansas 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.