Baylor
5–3 · 3–2 Big 12 · Dave Aranda, 7th season
Beat UCF 41–9, Oct 30 · Next: vs Iowa State, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Baylor has beaten the line in 3 of its last 4, by 13.6 points a game. Over the season it’s 7.8 a game over, 9th of 136.
Of the 11 teams at 5–3 against a schedule this hard, Baylor’s +7.8 is 1st.
last 4
+13.6
before
+1.9
020
Oct 3, 2026 @ Arizona State +39.5
Oct 17, 2026 vs TCU −15.5
Oct 24, 2026 @ Kansas +0.5
Oct 30, 2026 @ UCF +30.0
Lately
- Covered 6 of its last 10count
Nov 22, 2025 @ Arizona −17.5
Nov 29, 2025 vs Houston −9.5
Sep 5 vs Auburn +5.5
Sep 12 vs Prairie View A&M +3.5
Sep 19 vs Louisiana Tech −3
Sep 26 vs Colorado +1.5- Oct 3 @ Arizona State +39.5
- Oct 17 vs TCU −15.5
- Oct 24 @ Kansas +0.5
- Oct 30 @ UCF +30
- Won 6 of its last 10 at homecount
Sep 13, 2025 vs Samford +35- Sep 20, 2025 vs Arizona State −3
Oct 4, 2025 vs Kansas State +1- Nov 1, 2025 vs UCF +27
Nov 15, 2025 vs Utah −27- Nov 29, 2025 vs Houston −7
- Sep 12 vs Prairie View A&M +41
- Sep 19 vs Louisiana Tech +17
- Sep 26 vs Colorado +10
- Oct 17 vs TCU −11
- Won 6 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Nov 16, 2024 @ West Virginia +14- Nov 23, 2024 @ Houston +10
Sep 6, 2025 @ SMU +3
Sep 27, 2025 @ Oklahoma State +18- Oct 18, 2025 @ TCU −6
Oct 25, 2025 @ Cincinnati −21- Nov 22, 2025 @ Arizona −24
- Oct 3 @ Arizona State +36
- Oct 24 @ Kansas −1
- Oct 30 @ UCF +32
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +2.8 · 48th | −9.0 · 16th |
| Total yards | +51 · 28th | −12 · 53rd |
| Touchdowns | +0.4 · 47th | −1.4 · 12th |
| Passing efficiency | +13.4 · 37th | −19.3 · 20th |
| 3rd downs | −0.1% · 64th | −5.9% · 29th |
| Turnovers | −0.1 · 49th | +0.8 · 8th |
| Sacks | +0.2 · 88th | +2.0 · 1st |
| Penalty yards | +18.7 · 127th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Baylor’s splits
Seasons
- 2026 5–3
- 2025 5–7
- 2024 8–5
- 2023 3–9
- 2022 6–7
- 2021 12–2
- 2020 2–7
- 2019 11–3
- 2018 7–6
- 2017 1–11
- 2016 7–6
- 2015 10–3
- 2014 11–2
- 2013 11–2
- 2012 8–5
- 2011 10–3
- 2010 7–6
- 2009 4–8
- 2008 4–8
- 2007 3–9
- 2006 4–8
- 2005 5–6
- 2004 3–8
- 2003 3–9
- 2002 3–9
- 2001 3–8
- 2000 2–9
- 1999 1–10
- 1998 2–9
- 1997 2–9
- 1996 4–7
- 1995 7–4
- 1994 7–5
- 1993 5–6
- 1992 7–5
- 1991 8–4
- 1990 6–4–1
- 1989 5–6
- 1988 6–5
- 1987 6–5
- 1986 9–3
- 1985 9–3
- 1984 5–6
- 1983 7–4–1
- 1982 4–6–1
- 1981 5–6
- 1980 10–2
- 1979 8–4
- 1978 3–8
- 1977 5–6
- 1976 7–3–1
- 1975 3–6–2
- 1974 8–4
- 1973 2–9
- 1972 5–6
- 1971 1–9
- 1970 2–9
- 1969 0–10
- 1968 3–7
- 1967 1–8–1
- 1966 5–5
- 1965 5–5
- 1964 5–5
- 1963 8–3
- 1962 4–6
- 1961 6–5
- 1960 8–3
- 1959 4–6
- 1958 3–7
- 1957 3–6–1
- 1956 9–2
- 1955 5–5
- 1954 7–4
- 1953 7–3
- 1952 4–4–2
- 1951 8–2–1
- 1950 7–3
- 1949 8–2
- 1948 6–3–2
- 1947 5–5
- 1946 1–8
- 1945 5–5–1
- 1942 6–4–1
- 1941 3–6–1
- 1940 4–6
- 1939 7–3
- 1938 7–2–1
- 1937 7–3
- 1936 6–3–1
- 1935 8–3
- 1934 3–7
- 1933 6–4
- 1932 3–5–1
- 1931 3–6
- 1930 6–3–1
- 1929 7–3–1
- 1928 8–2
- 1927 2–7
- 1926 6–3–1
- 1925 3–5–2
- 1924 7–2–1
- 1923 5–1–2
- 1922 8–3
- 1921 8–3
- 1920 4–4–1
- 1919 5–3–1
- 1918 0–6
- 1917 6–2–1
- 1916 9–1
- 1915 7–1
- 1914 3–5–2
- 1913 4–4–2
- 1912 3–5
- 1911 3–4–2
- 1910 6–1–1
- 1909 5–3
- 1908 3–5
- 1907 4–3–1
- 1905 1–6
- 1904 2–5–1
- 1903 4–3–1
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.