South Alabama @ 
Marshall
Marshall 20, South Alabama 13South Alabama was favored by 1.5, and Marshall covered.
| a game | South Alabama1 game | Marshall1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −16.4 | −15.7 |
| Points allowed | −5.3 | −15.7 |
| Total offense, yards | −74 | −103 |
| Total defense, yards | −66 | −63 |
| Touchdowns | −2.2 | −2.6 |
| Passer rating | −68.7 | −42.5 |
| Third downs | −15.9% | −3.3% |
| Sacks | +0.2 | −0.8 |
| Penalty yards | −26.3 | −2.7 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.3 | −1.3 |
Who put up numbers
Marshall
- Passing yardsZion Turner181 passing yards
- Rushing yardsKhalil Wilkins69 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsZion Turner1 rushing touchdown
South Alabama
Analysis
Marshall
- Marshall’s pass attempts were 8.0 higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 2nd of 134 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 1.4 over expected.
- Marshall was 12.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 136th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+8.5 against the line this game.
South Alabama
- South Alabama had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- South Alabama was 4.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 35th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−8.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 1–1 since 2023.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Marshall had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- In a conference game, Marshall’s third-down conversion rate were 17.9% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.4% under expected.
- At home, Marshall’s penalty yards were 22.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 under expected.
- At night, Marshall’s penalty yards were 22.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 under expected.
- In a conference game, South Alabama’s points were 23.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 24.7 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | at Marshall | Marshall 20, South Alabama 13 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | at South Alabama | South Alabama 28, Marshall 0 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.