Marshall @ Georgia Southern

Sat, Nov 7 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium

The line has it Georgia Southern 33, Marshall 22.Georgia Southern −10.5, total 55, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Marshall at Georgia Southern: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Marshall8 games	Georgia Southern8 games
	−6.1	−2.0
	+3.4	−2.8
	−24	+11
	+61	−36
	−1.0	−0.3
	−22.5	+3.1
	−2.0%	+1.1%
	−1.0	−0.1
	−1.4	+14.7
	+0.1	+0.2
	+0.6	−0.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern has covered 5 straight.streakthe runs →
Georgia Southern has covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
Georgia Southern is 4.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 26th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Marshall

Marshall is 7.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 130th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

The series is tied 2–2 since 2022. Georgia Southern has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Georgia Southern is 4–0 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Without David Mbadinga, Georgia Southern’s penalty yards are 59.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At home, Georgia Southern’s passing yards are 47.8 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Marshall has failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Without Jo'Shon Barbie, Marshall’s points allowed are 24.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Carlos Del Rio-Wilson, Marshall’s penalty yards are 15.8 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Nov 29, 2025	at Marshall	Georgia Southern 24, Marshall 19
Oct 12, 2024	at Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern 24, Marshall 23
Nov 11, 2023	at Marshall	Marshall 38, Georgia Southern 33
Nov 19, 2022	at Georgia Southern	Marshall 23, Georgia Southern 10

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.