Missouri State @ 
Delaware
Delaware 61, Missouri State 38Delaware was favored by 3, and Delaware covered.
| a game | Missouri State1 game | Delaware1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +12.8 | +30.8 |
| Points allowed | +35.3 | +17.9 |
| Total offense, yards | +34 | +53 |
| Total defense, yards | +97 | +97 |
| Touchdowns | +0.8 | +4.4 |
| Passer rating | +24.9 | +31.1 |
| Third downs | +12.8% | −1.6% |
| Sacks | −0.5 | −1.3 |
| Penalty yards | +44.4 | −21.6 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.7 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
Delaware
- Passing yardsNick Minicucci225 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsNick Minicucci5 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsJo Silver101 rushing yards
Missouri State
Analysis
Delaware
- Delaware was 2.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 96th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+20.0 against the line this game.
Missouri State
- Missouri State was 1.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 59th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−20.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Delaware leads the series 1–0 since 2026.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- At home, Delaware’s carries were 6.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.5 over expected.
- At night, Delaware’s penalty yards were 22.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.4 under expected.
- In a conference game, Delaware’s penalty yards were 20.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.4 under expected.
- Missouri State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Missouri State was 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, Missouri State’s pass attempts were 9.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 over expected.
- On the road, Missouri State’s third-down conversion rate were 15.0% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.9% over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Missouri State’s pass attempts were 5.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | at Delaware | Delaware 61, Missouri State 38 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.