Middle Tennessee @ Florida International

Tue, Oct 20, 2026

Middle Tennessee 26, Florida International 23Florida International was favored by 10, and Middle Tennessee covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Florida International had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Florida International was 0.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 74th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−13.0 against the line this game.

Middle Tennessee had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Middle Tennessee had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Middle Tennessee was 1.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 87th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+13.0 against the line this game.

Middle Tennessee leads the series 15–6 since 2006. Middle Tennessee has won 3 straight at Florida International.seriesevery meeting →

At home, Florida International’s carries were 8.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.6 under expected.
In a conference game, Florida International’s penalty yards were 13.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.7 under expected.
Middle Tennessee was 3–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
On the road, Middle Tennessee’s carries were 12.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.4 over expected.
In a conference game, Middle Tennessee’s passing yards were 43.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.0 over expected.

Date	Where	Score
Oct 20, 2026	at Florida International	Middle Tennessee 26, Florida International 23
Nov 8, 2025	at Middle Tennessee	Florida International 56, Middle Tennessee 30
Nov 30, 2024	neutral	Florida International 35, Middle Tennessee 24
Nov 11, 2023	at Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee 40, Florida International 6
Nov 26, 2022	at Florida International	Middle Tennessee 33, Florida International 28
Nov 13, 2021	at Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee 50, Florida International 10
Oct 10, 2020	at Florida International	Middle Tennessee 31, Florida International 28
Oct 26, 2019	at Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee 50, Florida International 17
Oct 13, 2018	at Florida International	Florida International 24, Middle Tennessee 21
Oct 7, 2017	at Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee 37, Florida International 17

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.