UMass @ 
Buffalo
Buffalo 25, UMass 18Buffalo was favored by 6.5, and Buffalo covered.
| a game | UMass1 game | Buffalo1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −7.5 | −1.1 |
| Points allowed | +0.8 | −5.3 |
| Total offense, yards | −48 | −33 |
| Total defense, yards | +2 | +17 |
| Touchdowns | −1.0 | −1.6 |
| Passer rating | −36.7 | −47.8 |
| Third downs | −4.3% | +1.5% |
| Sacks | −0.3 | +1.1 |
| Penalty yards | −1.9 | −26.3 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | +0.7 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | +0.8 |
Who put up numbers
Buffalo
- Passing yardsJason Wright134 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsJason Wright2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsMessiah Burch172 rushing yards
UMass
Analysis
Buffalo
- Buffalo was 0.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 76th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.
UMass
- UMass was 6.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 20th of 136, and 9.4 better away than at home over its last 25, 7th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Buffalo leads the series 11–2 since 1964. Buffalo has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- At home, Buffalo’s pass attempts were 17.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.0 over expected.
- In a conference game, Buffalo’s points allowed were 19.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Buffalo’s points allowed were 9.1 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 under expected.
- On the road, UMass’ points of margin were 36.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.2 over expected.
- In a conference game, UMass’ points of margin were 18.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.2 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at Buffalo | Buffalo 25, UMass 18 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | at UMass | Buffalo 28, UMass 21 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | at Buffalo | Buffalo 34, UMass 3 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | at UMass | Buffalo 34, UMass 7 |
| Nov 27, 2015 | at Buffalo | UMass 31, Buffalo 26 |
| Nov 28, 2014 | at UMass | Buffalo 41, UMass 21 |
| Oct 19, 2013 | at Buffalo | Buffalo 32, UMass 3 |
| Nov 17, 2012 | at UMass | Buffalo 29, UMass 19 |
| Oct 3, 1970 | at Buffalo | Buffalo 16, UMass 13 |
| Sep 27, 1969 | at UMass | Buffalo 16, UMass 6 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.