Putting Up Numbers· college football

San Jose State @ UTEP

Sat, Oct 17, 2026

San Jose State 24, UTEP 11San Jose State was favored by 7, and San Jose State covered.

San Jose State at UTEP: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSan Jose State1 gameUTEP1 game
Points−9.6−17.3
Points allowed−8.3+5.9
Total offense, yards+30+73
Total defense, yards+162+101
Touchdowns−0.8−2.1
Passer rating−12.9+7.3
Third downs+2.9%−7.5%
Sacks+7.8−1.6
Penalty yards−16.8−16.0
Turnovers forced−1.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

UTEP

San Jose State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

UTEP

  • UTEP’s penalty yards were 26.8 lower vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 77th of 78 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 17.0 under expected.
  • UTEP had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • UTEP had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • UTEP was 8.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 129th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−6.0 against the line this game.

San Jose State

  • San Jose State was 0.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 63rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+6.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • San Jose State leads the series 6–5 since 1966. San Jose State has won 3 straight at UTEP.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • UTEP was 0–5 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At night, UTEP’s penalty yards were 36.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.0 under expected.
  • At home, UTEP’s penalty yards were 29.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.0 under expected.
  • In a conference game, UTEP’s carries were 7.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.9 over expected.
  • San Jose State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • San Jose State had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • In a conference game, San Jose State’s rushing yards were 72.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 100.9 over expected.
  • At night, San Jose State’s pass attempts were 6.4 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 17, 2026at UTEPSan Jose State 24, UTEP 11
Oct 30, 2004at San Jose StateUTEP 38, San Jose State 20
Nov 8, 2003at UTEPSan Jose State 69, UTEP 41
Sep 28, 2002at San Jose StateSan Jose State 58, UTEP 24
Oct 20, 2001at UTEPSan Jose State 40, UTEP 28
Oct 14, 2000at San Jose StateUTEP 47, San Jose State 30
Oct 30, 1999at UTEPUTEP 42, San Jose State 26
Oct 17, 1998at UTEPUTEP 28, San Jose State 21
Oct 18, 1997at UTEPSan Jose State 10, UTEP 7
Sep 21, 1996at San Jose StateSan Jose State 26, UTEP 25

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.