Hawaii @ UTEP

Sat, Nov 7 · Sun Bowl

The line has it Hawaii 30, UTEP 20.Hawaii −9.5, total 49.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Hawaii at UTEP: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Hawaii8 games	UTEP8 games
	−7.2	−15.2
	+1.8	+18.2
	−20	−93
	+22	+76
	−0.8	−1.5
	−13.0	−15.0
	−2.2%	−15.9%
	−1.0	−1.2
	+2.0	−1.2
	+0.2	−0.2
	−0.1	+0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

UTEP

UTEP has failed to cover 6 straight, the longest active streak without a cover in FBS.streakthe runs →
UTEP has lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →
UTEP is 7.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 129th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Hawaii

Hawaii is 0.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 75th of 136, and 11.3 worse away than at home over its last 25, 127th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

Hawaii leads the series 18–13 since 1948.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

UTEP is 0–7 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Without Tavorus Jones, UTEP’s points allowed are 25.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Raymond Moore III, UTEP’s pass attempts are 6.9 under expected in 4 games. A −11.2 difference in pass attempts over expected without Raymond Moore III vs with Raymond Moore III is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were without Raymond Moore III and it comes up 8 times in 100.thinwithout him →
Without EJ Colson Jr., UTEP’s pass attempts are 4.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Hawaii is 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Without Cam Barfield, Hawaii’s points are 8.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At night, Hawaii’s pass attempts are 12.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
After a bye, Hawaii’s carries are 8.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 16, 2004	at UTEP	UTEP 51, Hawaii 20
Oct 25, 2003	at Hawaii	Hawaii 31, UTEP 15
Sep 21, 2002	at UTEP	Hawaii 31, UTEP 6
Oct 13, 2001	at Hawaii	Hawaii 66, UTEP 7
Sep 23, 2000	at UTEP	UTEP 39, Hawaii 7
Oct 2, 1999	at Hawaii	Hawaii 33, UTEP 3
Oct 31, 1998	at UTEP	UTEP 30, Hawaii 13
Sep 23, 1995	at Hawaii	Hawaii 42, UTEP 21
Oct 1, 1994	at UTEP	UTEP 34, Hawaii 28
Sep 25, 1993	at Hawaii	Hawaii 52, UTEP 0

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.