Oklahoma State @ Houston

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · No. 18 at No. 20

Houston 35, Oklahoma State 32Houston was favored by 4, and Oklahoma State covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Houston had beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Houston was 5.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 25th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−1.0 against the line this game.

Oklahoma State’s carries were 8.8 higher vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 78 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 5.2 under expected.
Oklahoma State had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
Oklahoma State had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Oklahoma State had covered 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Oklahoma State was 6.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 23rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+1.0 against the line this game.

Houston leads the series 12–10–1 since 1951. Houston has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

Houston had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Houston was 1–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
In a conference game, Houston’s penalty yards were 10.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.8 over expected.
At night, Oklahoma State’s pass attempts were 11.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 under expected.
Against a ranked opponent, Oklahoma State’s total yards were 153.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 75.2 over expected.
On the road, Oklahoma State’s points were 17.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.4 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.