Putting Up Numbers· college football

Oklahoma State @ Kansas State

Sat, Nov 7 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

The line has it Oklahoma State 33, Kansas State 29.Oklahoma State −4.5, total 62, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Oklahoma State at Kansas State: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameOklahoma State8 gamesKansas State8 games
+12.7−2.1
+3.4−0.6
+124+14
+37−38
+1.2−0.2
+26.1−4.6
−0.6%+9.7%
+0.4+0.4
−5.0−15.0
+0.2−0.6
+0.5−0.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Kansas State

  • Kansas State is 1.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 86th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Oklahoma State

  • Oklahoma State has covered 6 straight at home, the longest active home cover streak in FBS.streakthe runs →
  • Oklahoma State has won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • Oklahoma State is 4.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 22nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • Oklahoma State leads the series 43–26 since 1917. Kansas State has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Kansas State has won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
  • Kansas State has beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →
  • Without Garrett Oakley, Kansas State’s carries are 7.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Since Avery Johnson’s last game, Kansas State’s rushing yards are 54.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Oklahoma State has covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →
  • Oklahoma State is 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • Without Chris Barnes, Oklahoma State’s third-down conversion rate are 33.9% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Since Ayo Adeyi’s last game, Oklahoma State’s points are 22.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 15, 2025at Oklahoma StateKansas State 14, Oklahoma State 6
Sep 28, 2024at Kansas StateKansas State 42, Oklahoma State 20
Oct 6, 2023at Oklahoma StateOklahoma State 29, Kansas State 21
Oct 29, 2022at Kansas StateKansas State 48, Oklahoma State 0
Sep 25, 2021at Oklahoma StateOklahoma State 31, Kansas State 20
Nov 7, 2020at Kansas StateOklahoma State 20, Kansas State 18
Sep 28, 2019at Oklahoma StateOklahoma State 26, Kansas State 13
Oct 13, 2018at Kansas StateKansas State 31, Oklahoma State 12
Nov 18, 2017at Oklahoma StateKansas State 45, Oklahoma State 40
Nov 5, 2016at Kansas StateOklahoma State 43, Kansas State 37

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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