Louisville @ 
Syracuse
Louisville 34, Syracuse 26Louisville was favored by 14.5, and Syracuse covered.
| a game | Louisville1 game | Syracuse1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +9.3 | −4.6 |
| Points allowed | −4.4 | +2.1 |
| Total offense, yards | +71 | +37 |
| Total defense, yards | +44 | −9 |
| Touchdowns | +1.9 | −0.6 |
| Passer rating | +19.4 | −5.2 |
| Third downs | +8.1% | −16.5% |
| Sacks | +3.3 | +1.0 |
| Penalty yards | +31.3 | +30.8 |
| Turnovers forced | +1.8 | +0.7 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | +1.7 |
Who put up numbers
Syracuse
- Passing yardsMalachi Nelson315 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsMalachi Nelson2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsAhmad Miller123 rushing yards
Louisville
Analysis
Syracuse
- Syracuse was 4.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 31st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+6.5 against the line this game.
Louisville
- Louisville was 2.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 49th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−6.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Louisville leads the series 14–8 since 1985.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Syracuse had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Syracuse had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- At home, Syracuse’s pass attempts were 22.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.7 over expected.
- In a conference game, Syracuse’s pass attempts were 6.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.7 over expected.
- At night, Syracuse’s penalty yards were 17.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 25.6 over expected.
- Louisville had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Louisville was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, Louisville’s carries were 11.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.7 over expected.
- At night, Louisville’s rushing yards were 106.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 83.9 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at Syracuse | Louisville 34, Syracuse 26 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | at Syracuse | Syracuse 31, Louisville 7 |
| Nov 13, 2021 | at Louisville | Louisville 41, Syracuse 3 |
| Nov 20, 2020 | at Louisville | Louisville 30, Syracuse 0 |
| Nov 23, 2019 | at Louisville | Louisville 56, Syracuse 34 |
| Nov 9, 2018 | at Syracuse | Syracuse 54, Louisville 23 |
| Nov 18, 2017 | at Louisville | Louisville 56, Syracuse 10 |
| Sep 9, 2016 | at Syracuse | Louisville 62, Syracuse 28 |
| Nov 7, 2015 | at Louisville | Louisville 41, Syracuse 17 |
| Oct 3, 2014 | at Syracuse | Louisville 28, Syracuse 6 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.