Kent State @ 
South Florida
South Florida 29, Kent State 2South Florida was favored by 20.5, and South Florida covered.
| a game | Kent State1 game | South Florida1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −16.6 | −4.0 |
| Points allowed | +2.0 | −13.9 |
| Total offense, yards | −96 | −146 |
| Total defense, yards | −73 | −69 |
| Touchdowns | −2.0 | −2.0 |
| Passer rating | −40.5 | +6.3 |
| Third downs | −2.2% | −15.9% |
| Sacks | +2.2 | +1.1 |
| Penalty yards | −16.0 | +3.9 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.2 | −1.2 |
Who put up numbers
South Florida
- Passing yardsMichael Van Buren Jr.193 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsMichael Van Buren Jr.1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsD.J. Crowther42 rushing yards
Kent State
Analysis
South Florida
- South Florida’s total yards were 155.4 higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 134 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 61.4 under expected.
- South Florida was 2.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 90th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+6.5 against the line this game.
Kent State
- Kent State was 3.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 98th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−6.5 against the line this game.
The series
- South Florida leads the series 1–0 since 2026.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- South Florida had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
- South Florida was 1–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, South Florida’s points were 9.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 over expected.
- At night, South Florida’s penalty yards were 10.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.1 over expected.
- Kent State was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, Kent State’s points allowed were 15.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at South Florida | South Florida 29, Kent State 2 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.