South Florida
6–2 · 2–2 American Athletic · Brian Hartline, 1st season
Beat UAB 30–10, Oct 31 · Next: at East Carolina, Fri, Nov 6 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
South Florida has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, by 2.0 points a game. Over the season it’s 0.6 a game over, 65th of 136.
Of the 6 teams at 6–2 against a schedule this hard, South Florida’s +0.6 is 6th.
last 4
+2.0
before
−0.8
-10010
Oct 3, 2026 vs Temple −9.5
Oct 8, 2026 @ UTSA −1.5
Oct 17, 2026 vs Kent State +6.5
Oct 31, 2026 vs UAB +12.5
Lately
- Won 9 of its last 10 at homecount
- S Sep 20, 2025 vs South Carolina State +49
Oct 3, 2025 vs Charlotte +28
Oct 18, 2025 vs Florida Atlantic +35- Nov 6, 2025 vs UTSA +32
Nov 29, 2025 vs Rice +49
Sep 5 vs Florida International +10- D Sep 19 vs Delaware State +42
- Oct 3 vs Temple −4
- Oct 17 vs Kent State +27
- Oct 31 vs UAB +20
- Won 7 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Rice +49
Dec 17, 2025 vs Old Dominion −14- Sep 5 vs Florida International +10
Sep 12 @ Army +4- D Sep 19 vs Delaware State +42
Sep 26 @ Bowling Green +8- Oct 3 vs Temple −4
- Oct 8 @ UTSA −7
- Oct 17 vs Kent State +27
- Oct 31 vs UAB +20
- Covered 7 of its last 10 at homecount
Aug 28, 2025 vs Boise State +32.5- Oct 3, 2025 vs Charlotte 0
- Oct 18, 2025 vs Florida Atlantic +14.5
- Nov 6, 2025 vs UTSA +18
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Rice +20.5
- Sep 5 vs Florida International −4.5
- D Sep 19 vs Delaware State +4.5
- Oct 3 vs Temple −9.5
- Oct 17 vs Kent State +6.5
- Oct 31 vs UAB +12.5
- Beat 7 of its last 10 unranked opponentscount
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Rice +49
- Dec 17, 2025 vs Old Dominion −14
- Sep 5 vs Florida International +10
- Sep 12 @ Army +4
- D Sep 19 vs Delaware State +42
- Sep 26 @ Bowling Green +8
- Oct 3 vs Temple −4
- Oct 8 @ UTSA −7
- Oct 17 vs Kent State +27
- Oct 31 vs UAB +20
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −5.9 · 105th | −9.1 · 15th |
| Total yards | −117 · 134th | −49 · 28th |
| Touchdowns | −1.4 · 129th | −1.2 · 18th |
| Passing efficiency | −19.5 · 115th | +3.1 · 80th |
| 3rd downs | −3.3% · 94th | −2.2% · 48th |
| Turnovers | −0.8 · 5th | −0.1 · 71st |
| Sacks | +0.3 · 95th | +0.7 · 20th |
| Penalty yards | −19.5 · 9th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
South Florida’s splits
Seasons
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.