South Florida @ 
East Carolina
The line has it East Carolina 21, South Florida 19.East Carolina −1.5, total 39.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.
| a game | South Florida8 games | East Carolina8 games |
|---|---|---|
| −5.9 | −5.9 | |
| −9.1 | +1.3 | |
| −117 | −41 | |
| −49 | −11 | |
| −1.4 | −0.8 | |
| −19.5 | −22.3 | |
| −3.3% | −13.9% | |
| +0.7 | −0.7 | |
| −17.7 | −7.9 | |
| −0.1 | +0.1 | |
| −0.8 | +0.2 |
Analysis
East Carolina
- East Carolina is 2.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 103rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →
South Florida
- South Florida’s total yards are 153.6 higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 134 teams.fact · rankedthe split →
- South Florida is 0.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 65th of 136.fact · rankedits form →
The series
- South Florida leads the series 9–4 since 2002. East Carolina has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- East Carolina has won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
- East Carolina is 2–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
- Without Michael Allen, East Carolina’s pass attempts are 10.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- Without Mitch Griffis, East Carolina’s carries are 7.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- In a conference game, East Carolina’s penalty yards are 24.0 under expected in 4 games. A −40.9 difference in penalty yards over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 6 times in 100.thinthe split →
- South Florida has won 7 of its last 10.countits form →
- Without Cameron Seldon, South Florida’s pass attempts are 13.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- Since Michael Van Buren Jr.’s last game, South Florida’s pass attempts are 10.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- On the road, South Florida’s penalty yards are 24.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | neutral | East Carolina 48, South Florida 28 |
| Oct 28, 2021 | at East Carolina | East Carolina 29, South Florida 14 |
| Oct 10, 2020 | at South Florida | East Carolina 44, South Florida 24 |
| Oct 26, 2019 | at East Carolina | South Florida 45, East Carolina 20 |
| Sep 22, 2018 | at South Florida | South Florida 20, East Carolina 13 |
| Sep 30, 2017 | at East Carolina | South Florida 61, East Carolina 31 |
| Oct 8, 2016 | at South Florida | South Florida 38, East Carolina 22 |
| Nov 7, 2015 | at East Carolina | South Florida 22, East Carolina 17 |
| Oct 11, 2014 | at South Florida | East Carolina 28, South Florida 17 |
| Dec 23, 2006 | neutral | South Florida 24, East Carolina 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.