Georgia State @ James Madison

Sat, Oct 17, 2026

James Madison 49, Georgia State 22James Madison was favored by 7.5, and James Madison covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

James Madison had beaten 17 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 18.
James Madison had won 10 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 11.
James Madison had won 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
James Madison was 13.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 6th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+19.5 against the line this game.

Georgia State had covered 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Georgia State was 17.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 3rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−19.5 against the line this game.

James Madison leads the series 5–0 since 2022. James Madison has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

James Madison had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
James Madison was 4–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
At home, James Madison’s pass attempts were 7.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.0 under expected.
In a conference game, James Madison’s rushing yards were 62.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 67.2 over expected.
On the road, Georgia State’s total yards were 129.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 38.1 under expected.
In a conference game, Georgia State’s passing yards were 80.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 87.2 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.