Fresno State @ 
San Diego State
San Diego State 26, Fresno State 23Fresno State was favored by 7, and San Diego State covered.
| a game | Fresno State1 game | San Diego State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −8.9 | +0.1 |
| Points allowed | −0.9 | −1.6 |
| Total offense, yards | −152 | −28 |
| Total defense, yards | +45 | −69 |
| Touchdowns | −0.8 | −1.0 |
| Passer rating | −46.8 | +24.4 |
| Third downs | −12.7% | +3.1% |
| Sacks | −0.4 | +4.1 |
| Penalty yards | −30.2 | −18.8 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −0.3 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.2 | −0.4 |
Who put up numbers
San Diego State
- Passing yardsJayden Denegal112 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsBert Emanuel Jr.1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsLucky Sutton110 rushing yards
Fresno State
Analysis
San Diego State
- San Diego State was 12.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 135th of 136, and 16.4 better at home than away over its last 25, 4th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.0 against the line this game.
Fresno State
- Fresno State had covered 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Fresno State had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Fresno State was 8.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 14th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.0 against the line this game.
The series
- San Diego State leads the series 20–13 since 1969. San Diego State has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- San Diego State had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- San Diego State was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
- In a conference game, San Diego State’s total yards were 157.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 45.2 over expected.
- At home, San Diego State’s pass attempts were 5.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.4 under expected.
- Fresno State had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- In a conference game, Fresno State’s passing yards were 65.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 97.4 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Fresno State’s pass attempts were 5.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.4 under expected.
- On the road, Fresno State’s rushing yards were 45.2 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.5 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at San Diego State | San Diego State 26, Fresno State 23 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | at Fresno State | San Diego State 23, Fresno State 0 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | at San Diego State | San Diego State 33, Fresno State 18 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 32, San Diego State 28 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | at San Diego State | Fresno State 30, San Diego State 20 |
| Nov 15, 2019 | at San Diego State | San Diego State 17, Fresno State 7 |
| Nov 17, 2018 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 23, San Diego State 14 |
| Oct 21, 2017 | at San Diego State | Fresno State 27, San Diego State 3 |
| Oct 14, 2016 | at Fresno State | San Diego State 17, Fresno State 3 |
| Oct 3, 2015 | at San Diego State | San Diego State 21, Fresno State 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.