Putting Up Numbers· college football

Utah State @ San Diego State

Sat, Nov 14 · Snapdragon Stadium

No line yet.

Utah State at San Diego State: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameUtah State8 gamesSan Diego State9 games
−11.7−4.4
−7.9+6.9
−80−75
−54+60
−1.3−0.9
−11.5−22.4
−2.4%−7.8%
−0.1+0.5
+7.4−17.0
+0.1−0.2
−0.10.0

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

San Diego State

  • San Diego State is 7.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 131st of 136, and 16.9 better at home than away over its last 25, 2nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Utah State

  • Utah State is 2.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 45th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • San Diego State leads the series 13–5 since 1947. Utah State has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • San Diego State has won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
  • San Diego State has covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
  • Without Javion Kinnard, San Diego State’s third-down conversion rate are 29.0% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Jordan Napier, San Diego State’s passing yards are 110.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Lucky Sutton, San Diego State’s third-down conversion rate are 15.5% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Utah State has lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →
  • Utah State has covered 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →
  • Since Eli Wood’s last game, Utah State’s third-down conversion rate are 20.9% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Grady Brosterhous, Utah State’s third-down conversion rate are 20.9% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • At night, Utah State’s third-down conversion rate are 15.1% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 23, 2024at Utah StateUtah State 41, San Diego State 20
Nov 4, 2023at San Diego StateUtah State 32, San Diego State 24
Dec 4, 2021at San Diego StateUtah State 46, San Diego State 13
Oct 31, 2020at Utah StateSan Diego State 38, Utah State 7
Sep 21, 2019at San Diego StateUtah State 23, San Diego State 17
Oct 28, 2016at Utah StateSan Diego State 40, Utah State 13
Oct 23, 2015at San Diego StateSan Diego State 48, Utah State 14
Sep 25, 2010at San Diego StateSan Diego State 41, Utah State 7
Oct 1, 1977at San Diego StateSan Diego State 19, Utah State 0
Nov 13, 1976at San Diego StateSan Diego State 7, Utah State 6

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.