Ball State @ 
Bowling Green
Ball State 32, Bowling Green 31Bowling Green was favored by 6, and Ball State covered.
| a game | Ball State1 game | Bowling Green1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +5.0 | −5.6 |
| Points allowed | +10.7 | +13.2 |
| Total offense, yards | +69 | −149 |
| Total defense, yards | −7 | +121 |
| Touchdowns | +0.9 | −1.7 |
| Passer rating | +11.9 | +9.7 |
| Third downs | +3.0% | −2.7% |
| Sacks | +2.1 | −2.0 |
| Penalty yards | +2.6 | +1.7 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.2 | −0.1 |
Who put up numbers
Bowling Green
- Passing yardsJay Kastantin215 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsJay Kastantin2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsAustyn Dendy61 rushing yards
Ball State
Analysis
Bowling Green
- Bowling Green was 1.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 84th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−7.0 against the line this game.
Ball State
- Ball State had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Ball State was 2.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 91st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+7.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Bowling Green leads the series 21–10–1 since 1968.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Bowling Green had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, Bowling Green’s points allowed were 14.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.9 over expected.
- In a conference game, Bowling Green’s carries were 7.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.6 under expected.
- Ball State was 2–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
- In a conference game, Ball State’s carries were 7.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.7 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at Bowling Green | Ball State 32, Bowling Green 31 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | at Ball State | Bowling Green 38, Ball State 13 |
| Nov 1, 2023 | at Bowling Green | Bowling Green 24, Ball State 21 |
| Nov 24, 2015 | at Ball State | Bowling Green 48, Ball State 10 |
| Nov 28, 2014 | at Bowling Green | Ball State 41, Bowling Green 24 |
| Oct 17, 2009 | at Ball State | Bowling Green 31, Ball State 17 |
| Sep 10, 2005 | at Ball State | Bowling Green 40, Ball State 31 |
| Oct 16, 2004 | at Bowling Green | Bowling Green 51, Ball State 13 |
| Nov 22, 2003 | at Ball State | Bowling Green 41, Ball State 14 |
| Oct 26, 2002 | at Bowling Green | Bowling Green 38, Ball State 20 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.