Ball State
3–5 · 2–2 Mid-American · Mike Uremovich, 2nd season
Beat Sacramento State 34–17, Oct 24 · Next: at UMass, Thu, Nov 5 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Ball State has beaten the line in all of its last 4, by 4.8 points a game. Over the season it’s 0.6 a game under, 78th of 136.
Of the 6 teams at 3–5 against a schedule this hard, Ball State’s −0.6 is 3rd.
last 4
+4.8
before
−6.0
-20-10010
Oct 3, 2026 vs Toledo +6.0
Oct 10, 2026 @ Northwestern +3.5
Oct 17, 2026 @ Bowling Green +7.0- S Oct 24, 2026 vs Sacramento State +2.5
Lately
- Covered 4 straightstreak
- Oct 3 vs Toledo +6
- Oct 10 @ Northwestern +3.5
- Oct 17 @ Bowling Green +7
- S Oct 24 vs Sacramento State +2.5
the games, with the score and the spread
Ball State has covered the spread in 4 straight games. Every game of it. Date Game Spread Result Score Oct 3, 2026 Ball State vsToledo+21 L 24–39 Oct 10, 2026 Ball State @Northwestern+34.5 L 14–45 Oct 17, 2026 Ball State @Bowling Green+6 W 32–31 Oct 24, 2026 Ball State vs
Sacramento State−14.5 W 34–17 - Covered 8 of its last 10 at homecount
Oct 26, 2024 vs Northern Illinois +15.5
Nov 5, 2024 vs Miami (OH) +7- Nov 23, 2024 vs Bowling Green −12.5
Oct 4, 2025 vs Ohio +20
Oct 18, 2025 vs Akron +16
Nov 5, 2025 vs Kent State +1
Nov 15, 2025 vs Eastern Michigan −12.5- S Sep 12 vs Stony Brook +10.5
- Oct 3 vs Toledo +6
- S Oct 24 vs Sacramento State +2.5
- Lost 7 of its last 10count
- Nov 22, 2025 @ Toledo −29
- Nov 29, 2025 @ Miami (OH) −21
Sep 5 @ Ohio State −53- S Sep 12 vs Stony Brook +24
Sep 19 @ Liberty −36- Sep 26 @ Kent State −13
- Oct 3 vs Toledo −15
- Oct 10 @ Northwestern −31
- Oct 17 @ Bowling Green +1
- S Oct 24 vs Sacramento State +17
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −7.0 · 117th | +14.7 · 134th |
| Total yards | −53 · 116th | +84 · 126th |
| Touchdowns | −0.5 · 89th | +1.9 · 131st |
| Passing efficiency | −18.5 · 111th | +35.5 · 132nd |
| 3rd downs | −8.1% · 122nd | +9.1% · 123rd |
| Turnovers | −0.3 · 34th | −0.7 · 136th |
| Sacks | −0.6 · 31st | −0.5 · 102nd |
| Penalty yards | +14.1 · 118th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
- 2026 3–5
- 2025 4–8
- 2024 3–9
- 2023 4–8
- 2022 5–7
- 2021 6–7
- 2020 7–1
- 2019 5–7
- 2018 4–8
- 2017 2–10
- 2016 4–8
- 2015 3–9
- 2014 5–7
- 2013 10–3
- 2012 9–4
- 2011 6–6
- 2010 4–8
- 2009 2–10
- 2008 12–2
- 2007 7–6
- 2006 5–7
- 2005 4–7
- 2004 2–9
- 2003 4–8
- 2002 6–6
- 2001 5–6
- 2000 5–6
- 1999 0–11
- 1998 1–10
- 1997 5–6
- 1996 8–4
- 1995 7–4
- 1994 5–5–1
- 1993 8–3–1
- 1992 5–6
- 1991 6–5
- 1990 7–4
- 1989 7–3–2
- 1988 8–3
- 1987 4–7
- 1986 6–5
- 1985 4–7
- 1984 3–8
- 1983 6–5
- 1982 5–6
- 1981 4–7
- 1980 6–5
- 1979 6–5
- 1978 10–1
- 1977 9–2
- 1976 8–3
- 1975 9–2
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.