Putting Up Numbers· college football

East Carolina @ UAB

Thu, Oct 15, 2026

UAB 30, East Carolina 17East Carolina was favored by 5.5, and UAB covered.

East Carolina at UAB: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameEast Carolina1 gameUAB1 game
Points−8.5+2.0
Points allowed+7.0−4.7
Total offense, yards−11−18
Total defense, yards+22−23
Touchdowns−0.8−1.0
Passer rating−7.5+1.2
Third downs+5.9%+0.6%
Sacks+0.4−0.2
Penalty yards−5.2+19.4
Turnovers forced−1.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8−1.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

UAB

East Carolina

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

UAB

  • UAB was 1.2 points a game under the closing line this season, 80th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+18.5 against the line this game.

East Carolina

  • East Carolina was 2.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 92nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−18.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • UAB had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • UAB was 2–1–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, UAB’s third-down conversion rate were 17.8% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.6% over expected.
  • In a conference game, UAB’s penalty yards were 22.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 18.1 over expected.
  • At night, UAB’s carries were 7.5 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.1 under expected.
  • East Carolina had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • East Carolina had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, East Carolina’s pass attempts were 11.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.9 over expected.
  • In a conference game, East Carolina’s penalty yards were 36.5 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.1 under expected.
  • At night, East Carolina’s pass attempts were 10.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.9 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 15, 2026at UABUAB 30, East Carolina 17
Nov 16, 2013at East CarolinaEast Carolina 63, UAB 14
Oct 20, 2012at UABEast Carolina 42, UAB 35
Sep 24, 2011at East CarolinaEast Carolina 28, UAB 23
Nov 11, 2010at UABEast Carolina 54, UAB 42
Nov 21, 2009at East CarolinaEast Carolina 37, UAB 21
Nov 22, 2008at UABEast Carolina 17, UAB 13
Oct 27, 2007at East CarolinaEast Carolina 41, UAB 6
Sep 9, 2006at UABUAB 17, East Carolina 12
Nov 26, 2005at East CarolinaEast Carolina 31, UAB 23

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 14, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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