East Carolina
4–4 · 2–2 American Athletic · Blake Harrell, 3rd season
Beat Temple 17–9, Oct 31 · Next: vs South Florida, Fri, Nov 6 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
East Carolina has beaten the line in 3 of its last 4, 1.3 points a game under it. Over the season it’s 2.9 a game under, 103rd of 136.
Of the 13 teams at 4–4 against a schedule this hard, East Carolina’s −2.9 is 12th.
last 4
−1.3
before
−4.6
-100
Oct 10, 2026 vs Rice +6.0
Oct 15, 2026 @ UAB −18.5
Oct 22, 2026 @ Memphis +3.5
Oct 31, 2026 vs Temple +4.0
Lately
- Won 8 of its last 10 at homecount
- C Sep 6, 2025 vs Campbell +53
Sep 20, 2025 vs BYU −21
Sep 25, 2025 vs Army +22
Oct 16, 2025 vs Tulsa +14
Nov 8, 2025 vs Charlotte +26- Nov 15, 2025 vs Memphis +4
Sep 12 vs Appalachian State −3- N Sep 26 vs North Carolina Central +33
- Oct 10 vs Rice +16
- Oct 31 vs Temple +8
- Covered 6 of its last 10count
Nov 29, 2025 @ Florida Atlantic +32
Dec 27, 2025 vs Pittsburgh +18.5
Sep 5 @ Alabama −10- Sep 12 vs Appalachian State −9.5
Sep 19 @ Old Dominion +5.5- N Sep 26 vs North Carolina Central −4.5
- Oct 10 vs Rice +6
- Oct 15 @ UAB −18.5
- Oct 22 @ Memphis +3.5
- Oct 31 vs Temple +4
- Won 6 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 @ Florida Atlantic +39
- Dec 27, 2025 vs Pittsburgh +6
- Sep 5 @ Alabama −38
- Sep 12 vs Appalachian State −3
- Sep 19 @ Old Dominion +3
- N Sep 26 vs North Carolina Central +33
- Oct 10 vs Rice +16
- Oct 15 @ UAB −13
- Oct 22 @ Memphis −7
- Oct 31 vs Temple +8
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −5.9 · 104th | +1.3 · 80th |
| Total yards | −41 · 100th | −11 · 55th |
| Touchdowns | −0.8 · 103rd | −0.5 · 41st |
| Passing efficiency | −22.3 · 121st | −29.4 · 7th |
| 3rd downs | −13.9% · 132nd | −6.7% · 22nd |
| Turnovers | +0.2 · 90th | +0.1 · 47th |
| Sacks | +0.2 · 84th | −0.7 · 109th |
| Penalty yards | 0.0 · 71st |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
- 2026 4–4
- 2025 9–4
- 2024 8–5
- 2023 2–10
- 2022 8–5
- 2021 7–5
- 2020 3–6
- 2019 4–8
- 2018 3–9
- 2017 3–9
- 2016 3–9
- 2015 5–7
- 2014 8–5
- 2013 10–3
- 2012 8–5
- 2011 5–7
- 2010 6–7
- 2009 9–5
- 2008 9–5
- 2007 8–5
- 2006 7–6
- 2005 5–6
- 2004 2–9
- 2003 1–11
- 2002 4–8
- 2001 6–6
- 2000 8–4
- 1999 9–3
- 1998 6–5
- 1997 5–6
- 1996 8–3
- 1995 9–3
- 1994 7–5
- 1993 2–9
- 1992 5–6
- 1991 11–1
- 1990 5–6
- 1989 5–5–1
- 1988 3–8
- 1987 5–6
- 1986 2–9
- 1985 2–9
- 1984 2–9
- 1983 8–3
- 1982 7–4
- 1981 5–6
- 1980 4–7
- 1979 7–3–1
- 1978 9–3
- 1977 8–3
- 1976 9–2
- 1975 8–3
- 1974 7–4
- 1973 9–2
- 1972 9–2
- 1971 4–6
- 1970 3–8
- 1969 2–7
- 1968 4–6
- 1967 8–2
- 1966 4–5–1
- 1965 9–1
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.