Colorado State @ 
Texas State
Texas State 66, Colorado State 27Texas State was favored by 15, and Texas State covered.
| a game | Colorado State1 game | Texas State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.8 | +27.3 |
| Points allowed | +34.3 | −2.0 |
| Total offense, yards | +51 | +250 |
| Total defense, yards | +273 | +46 |
| Touchdowns | +0.4 | +4.4 |
| Passer rating | +1.2 | +33.6 |
| Third downs | −12.8% | +10.9% |
| Sacks | −1.7 | −0.3 |
| Penalty yards | +19.1 | −25.3 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −0.3 |
Who put up numbers
Texas State
- Passing yardsBrad Jackson213 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsBrad Jackson1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsTorrance Burgess Jr.224 rushing yards
Colorado State
Analysis
Texas State
- Texas State was 1.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 83rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+24.0 against the line this game.
Colorado State
- Colorado State was 2.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 52nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−24.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Texas State leads the series 1–0 since 2026.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Texas State was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- In a conference game, Texas State’s pass attempts were 16.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.8 under expected.
- At home, Texas State’s rushing yards were 111.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 261.2 over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Texas State’s carries were 10.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.1 over expected.
- Colorado State had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- On the road, Colorado State’s pass attempts were 13.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.3 over expected.
- In a conference game, Colorado State’s points allowed were 13.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.9 over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Colorado State’s pass attempts were 3.2 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.3 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | at Texas State | Texas State 66, Colorado State 27 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 14, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.