Boise State @ 
Colorado State
The line has it Boise State 43, Colorado State 26.Boise State −17.5, total 68.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.
| a game | Boise State8 games | Colorado State8 games |
|---|---|---|
| +11.0 | +5.5 | |
| −3.1 | +20.0 | |
| +64 | +26 | |
| −10 | +171 | |
| +1.5 | +1.3 | |
| +25.9 | +8.9 | |
| +13.5% | +6.6% | |
| +0.4 | −1.0 | |
| −0.4 | −16.3 | |
| −0.4 | +0.2 | |
| −0.8 | −0.2 |
Analysis
Colorado State
- Colorado State is 1.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 90th of 136.fact · rankedits form →
Boise State
- Boise State has beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →
- Boise State has won 7 straight.streakthe runs →
- Boise State has won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →
- Boise State is 2.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 39th of 136.fact · rankedits form →
The series
- Boise State leads the series 13–1 since 2011.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Colorado State has lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →
- Colorado State is 1–4–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
- Since Mel Brown’s last game, Colorado State’s total yards are 99.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- Without K'saan Farrar, Colorado State’s third-down conversion rate are 9.9% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- At home, Colorado State’s third-down conversion rate are 14.7% over expected in 4 games. A +24.0% difference in third-down conversion rate over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 6 times in 100.thinthe split →
- Boise State is 3–4 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
- Without Sire Gaines, Boise State’s third-down conversion rate are 18.8% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- Without Rasean Jones, Boise State’s penalty yards are 32.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
- Without Juelz Goff, Boise State’s third-down conversion rate are 11.3% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | at Boise State | Boise State 49, Colorado State 21 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | at Colorado State | Colorado State 31, Boise State 30 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | at Boise State | Boise State 49, Colorado State 10 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | at Colorado State | Boise State 28, Colorado State 19 |
| Nov 12, 2020 | at Boise State | Boise State 52, Colorado State 21 |
| Nov 29, 2019 | at Colorado State | Boise State 31, Colorado State 24 |
| Oct 19, 2018 | at Boise State | Boise State 56, Colorado State 28 |
| Nov 11, 2017 | at Colorado State | Boise State 59, Colorado State 52 |
| Oct 15, 2016 | at Boise State | Boise State 28, Colorado State 23 |
| Oct 10, 2015 | at Colorado State | Boise State 41, Colorado State 10 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.