Delaware @ 
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee 33, Delaware 30Delaware was favored by 1.5, and Middle Tennessee covered.
| a game | Delaware1 game | Middle Tennessee1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +2.3 | +2.7 |
| Points allowed | +8.6 | +5.8 |
| Total offense, yards | +6 | −30 |
| Total defense, yards | +43 | +27 |
| Touchdowns | +0.7 | +0.3 |
| Passer rating | +16.8 | +22.1 |
| Third downs | +3.7% | −18.5% |
| Sacks | −0.6 | +2.6 |
| Penalty yards | +46.9 | −12.1 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.7 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.3 | +0.7 |
Who put up numbers
Middle Tennessee
- Passing yardsRoman Gagliano291 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsRoman Gagliano3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsAntonio Martin48 rushing yards
Delaware
Analysis
Middle Tennessee
- Middle Tennessee was 2.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 97th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+4.5 against the line this game.
Delaware
- Delaware was 2.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 88th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−4.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 1–1 since 2025.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Middle Tennessee was 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, Middle Tennessee’s penalty yards were 30.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.2 under expected.
- In a conference game, Middle Tennessee’s points allowed were 11.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.9 under expected.
- At night, Middle Tennessee’s points allowed were 8.1 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.9 under expected.
- On the road, Delaware’s passing yards were 89.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 82.2 over expected.
- At night, Delaware’s points were 15.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.9 under expected.
- In a conference game, Delaware’s third-down conversion rate were 21.3% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.0% over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | at Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee 33, Delaware 30 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | at Delaware | Delaware 31, Middle Tennessee 28 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 12, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.