Tennessee @ 
Arkansas
Tennessee 24, Arkansas 17Tennessee was favored by 14, and Arkansas covered.
| a game | Tennessee1 game | Arkansas1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.7 | −6.1 |
| Points allowed | −5.7 | −3.0 |
| Total offense, yards | +56 | −58 |
| Total defense, yards | −74 | +66 |
| Touchdowns | −0.3 | −0.5 |
| Passer rating | −7.6 | −14.9 |
| Third downs | −11.7% | −20.2% |
| Sacks | +0.1 | −1.7 |
| Penalty yards | −21.5 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | +1.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +1.8 | −0.4 |
Who put up numbers
Arkansas
- Passing yardsKJ Jackson155 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsKJ Jackson1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsCam Settles50 rushing yards
Tennessee
Analysis
Arkansas
- Arkansas was 7.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 125th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+7.0 against the line this game.
Tennessee
- Tennessee had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Tennessee was 2.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 56th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−7.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Tennessee leads the series 15–7 since 1907. Tennessee has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Arkansas had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Arkansas had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- In a conference game, Arkansas’ carries were 13.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.4 over expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, Arkansas’ pass attempts were 11.6 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.1 under expected.
- At home, Arkansas’ passing yards were 79.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 48.4 under expected.
- Tennessee was 2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, Tennessee’s penalty yards were 86.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.7 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Tennessee’s pass attempts were 7.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.0 over expected.
- In a conference game, Tennessee’s third-down conversion rate were 14.0% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.6% under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | at Arkansas | Tennessee 24, Arkansas 17 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | at Tennessee | Tennessee 34, Arkansas 31 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | at Arkansas | Arkansas 19, Tennessee 14 |
| Nov 7, 2020 | at Arkansas | Arkansas 24, Tennessee 13 |
| Oct 3, 2015 | at Tennessee | Arkansas 24, Tennessee 20 |
| Nov 12, 2011 | at Arkansas | Arkansas 49, Tennessee 7 |
| Nov 10, 2007 | at Tennessee | Tennessee 34, Arkansas 13 |
| Nov 11, 2006 | at Arkansas | Arkansas 31, Tennessee 14 |
| Oct 5, 2002 | at Tennessee | Tennessee 41, Arkansas 38 |
| Sep 8, 2001 | at Arkansas | Tennessee 13, Arkansas 3 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.