Tennessee
6–2 · 3–2 SEC · No. 16 AP · Josh Heupel, 6th season
Lost to South Carolina 27–24, Oct 24 · Next: vs No. 8 Kentucky, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Tennessee has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, by 5.1 points a game. Over the season it’s 3.4 a game over, 34th of 136.
Of the 7 teams at 6–2 against a schedule this hard, Tennessee’s +3.4 is 5th.
last 4
+5.1
before
+1.6
01020
Oct 3, 2026 vs Auburn +4.0
Oct 10, 2026 @ Arkansas −7.0
Oct 17, 2026 vs Alabama +24.0
Oct 24, 2026 @ South Carolina −0.5
Lately
- Beat 8 of its last 10 unranked opponentscount
Oct 25, 2025 @ Kentucky +22
Nov 15, 2025 vs New Mexico State +33
Nov 22, 2025 @ Florida +20
Dec 30, 2025 vs Illinois −2
Sep 5 vs Furman +47
Sep 12 @ Georgia Tech +21
Sep 19 vs Kennesaw State +33- Oct 3 vs Auburn +10
- Oct 10 @ Arkansas +7
- Oct 24 @ South Carolina −3
- Won 7 of its last 10 at homecount
Sep 20, 2025 vs UAB +32- Oct 11, 2025 vs Arkansas +3
Nov 1, 2025 vs Oklahoma −6- Nov 15, 2025 vs New Mexico State +33
Nov 29, 2025 vs Vanderbilt −21- Sep 5 vs Furman +47
- Sep 19 vs Kennesaw State +33
Sep 26 vs Texas −3- Oct 3 vs Auburn +10
- Oct 17 vs Alabama +16
- Won 6 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Vanderbilt −21
- Dec 30, 2025 vs Illinois −2
- Sep 5 vs Furman +47
- Sep 12 @ Georgia Tech +21
- Sep 19 vs Kennesaw State +33
- Sep 26 vs Texas −3
- Oct 3 vs Auburn +10
- Oct 10 @ Arkansas +7
- Oct 17 vs Alabama +16
- Oct 24 @ South Carolina −3
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +2.2 · 51st | −9.2 · 13th |
| Total yards | −15 · 78th | −74 · 13th |
| Touchdowns | +0.1 · 55th | −1.3 · 14th |
| Passing efficiency | −17.1 · 108th | −22.9 · 11th |
| 3rd downs | −3.6% · 96th | −7.4% · 19th |
| Turnovers | −0.1 · 56th | +0.6 · 11th |
| Sacks | +0.7 · 112th | +1.8 · 3rd |
| Penalty yards | +5.6 · 92nd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Tennessee’s splits
Seasons
- 2026 6–2
- 2025 8–5
- 2024 10–3
- 2023 9–4
- 2022 11–2
- 2021 7–6
- 2020 0–7
- 2019 0–5
- 2018 5–7
- 2017 4–8
- 2016 9–4
- 2015 9–4
- 2014 7–6
- 2013 5–7
- 2012 5–7
- 2011 5–7
- 2010 6–7
- 2009 7–6
- 2008 5–7
- 2007 10–4
- 2006 9–4
- 2005 5–6
- 2004 10–3
- 2003 10–3
- 2002 8–5
- 2001 11–2
- 2000 8–4
- 1999 9–3
- 1998 13–0
- 1997 11–2
- 1996 10–2
- 1995 11–1
- 1994 8–4
- 1993 10–2
- 1992 9–3
- 1991 9–3
- 1990 9–2–2
- 1989 11–1
- 1988 5–6
- 1987 10–2–1
- 1986 7–5
- 1985 9–1–2
- 1984 7–4–1
- 1983 9–3
- 1982 6–5–1
- 1981 8–4
- 1980 5–6
- 1979 7–5
- 1978 5–5–1
- 1977 4–7
- 1976 6–5
- 1975 7–5
- 1974 7–3–2
- 1973 8–4
- 1972 10–2
- 1971 10–2
- 1970 11–1
- 1969 9–2
- 1968 8–2–1
- 1967 9–2
- 1966 8–3
- 1965 8–1–2
- 1964 4–5–1
- 1963 5–5
- 1962 4–6
- 1961 6–4
- 1960 6–2–2
- 1959 5–4–1
- 1958 4–6
- 1957 8–3
- 1956 10–1
- 1955 6–3–1
- 1954 4–6
- 1953 6–4–1
- 1952 8–2–1
- 1951 10–1
- 1950 11–1
- 1949 7–2–1
- 1948 4–4–2
- 1947 5–5
- 1946 9–2
- 1945 8–1
- 1944 7–1–1
- 1942 9–1–1
- 1941 8–2
- 1940 10–1
- 1939 10–1
- 1938 11–0
- 1937 6–3–1
- 1936 6–2–2
- 1935 4–5
- 1934 8–2
- 1933 7–3
- 1932 9–0–1
- 1931 9–0–1
- 1930 9–1
- 1929 9–0–1
- 1928 9–0–1
- 1927 8–0–1
- 1926 8–1
- 1925 5–2–1
- 1924 3–5
- 1923 5–4–1
- 1922 8–2
- 1921 6–2–1
- 1920 7–2
- 1919 3–3–3
- 1916 8–0–1
- 1915 4–4
- 1914 9–0
- 1913 6–3
- 1912 4–4
- 1911 3–4–2
- 1910 3–5–1
- 1909 1–6–2
- 1908 7–2
- 1907 7–2–1
- 1906 1–6–2
- 1905 3–5–1
- 1904 3–5–1
- 1903 4–5
- 1902 6–2
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.