Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Louisiana Tech 32, Louisiana 31Louisiana Tech was favored by 3, and Louisiana covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Louisiana Tech’s third-down conversion rate were 18.1% higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 134 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 17.2% over expected.
Louisiana Tech’s passing yards were 71.6 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 2nd of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 151.5 over expected.
Louisiana Tech had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Louisiana Tech had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Louisiana Tech had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
Louisiana Tech was 9.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 11th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−2.0 against the line this game.

Louisiana had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
Louisiana had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
Louisiana had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Louisiana was 7.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 21st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+2.0 against the line this game.

Louisiana Tech leads the series 19–10–3 since 1973. Louisiana Tech has won the last 9.seriesevery meeting →

At home, Louisiana Tech’s rushing yards were 105.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.3 under expected.
Against an unranked opponent, Louisiana Tech’s penalty yards were 26.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.3 over expected.
At night, Louisiana Tech’s pass attempts were 7.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.7 over expected.
Louisiana had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
Against an unranked opponent, Louisiana’s carries were 7.8 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3 under expected.
In a conference game, Louisiana’s penalty yards were 21.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 47.4 under expected.
On the road, Louisiana’s third-down conversion rate were 10.2% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.9% over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.