Washington @ 
USC
USC 25, Washington 21USC was favored by 8, and Washington covered.
| a game | Washington1 game | USC1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −3.3 | −1.1 |
| Points allowed | −6.2 | −2.1 |
| Total offense, yards | −28 | −9 |
| Total defense, yards | −56 | −33 |
| Touchdowns | +0.3 | −1.0 |
| Passer rating | +11.1 | −11.4 |
| Third downs | −29.8% | −1.6% |
| Sacks | −0.6 | +2.2 |
| Penalty yards | +21.6 | +37.4 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.2 | −0.4 |
Who put up numbers
USC
- Passing yardsJayden Maiava245 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsJayden Maiava1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsKing Miller81 rushing yards
Washington
Analysis
USC
- USC’s pass attempts were 9.9 higher vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 77 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 3.1 over expected.
- USC had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- USC was 8.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 122nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−4.0 against the line this game.
Washington
- Washington had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Washington was 15.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 136th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+4.0 against the line this game.
The series
- USC leads the series 52–32–4 since 1923.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- USC had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
- USC had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- USC had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- USC was 1–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, USC’s points allowed were 15.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.8 under expected.
- Washington had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- In a conference game, Washington’s third-down conversion rate were 24.8% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 30.8% under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | at USC | USC 25, Washington 21 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | at Washington | Washington 26, USC 21 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | at USC | Washington 52, USC 42 |
| Sep 28, 2019 | at Washington | Washington 28, USC 14 |
| Nov 12, 2016 | at Washington | USC 26, Washington 13 |
| Oct 8, 2015 | at USC | Washington 17, USC 12 |
| Oct 13, 2012 | at Washington | USC 24, Washington 14 |
| Nov 12, 2011 | at USC | USC 40, Washington 17 |
| Oct 2, 2010 | at USC | Washington 32, USC 31 |
| Sep 19, 2009 | at Washington | Washington 16, USC 13 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.