UCF @ 
Houston
Houston 27, UCF 17Houston was favored by 10.5, and UCF covered.
| a game | UCF1 game | Houston1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −5.2 | −2.2 |
| Points allowed | −6.7 | −8.8 |
| Total offense, yards | −47 | −13 |
| Total defense, yards | −56 | −9 |
| Touchdowns | −1.0 | −0.3 |
| Passer rating | −9.1 | −28.1 |
| Third downs | −12.1% | +8.6% |
| Sacks | −0.6 | −0.4 |
| Penalty yards | +17.6 | +2.6 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.3 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.3 | −0.3 |
Who put up numbers
Houston
- Passing yardsConner Weigman239 passing yards
- Rushing yardsRe'Shaun Sanford II62 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsConner Weigman3 rushing touchdowns
UCF
Analysis
Houston
- Houston had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- Houston was 3.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 46th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−0.5 against the line this game.
UCF
- UCF had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- UCF was 8.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 22nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+0.5 against the line this game.
The series
- UCF leads the series 8–5 since 2005. Houston has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Houston had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, Houston’s total yards were 103.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 53.5 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Houston’s third-down conversion rate were 25.9% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3% under expected.
- In a conference game, Houston’s third-down conversion rate were 15.5% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3% under expected.
- On the road, UCF’s carries were 11.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.2 under expected.
- In a conference game, UCF’s points of margin were 9.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.0 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | at Houston | Houston 27, UCF 17 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | at UCF | Houston 30, UCF 27 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | at UCF | UCF 27, Houston 13 |
| Oct 31, 2020 | at Houston | UCF 44, Houston 21 |
| Nov 2, 2019 | at UCF | UCF 44, Houston 29 |
| Oct 29, 2016 | at Houston | Houston 31, UCF 24 |
| Oct 24, 2015 | at UCF | Houston 59, UCF 10 |
| Oct 2, 2014 | at Houston | UCF 17, Houston 12 |
| Nov 9, 2013 | at UCF | UCF 19, Houston 14 |
| Nov 5, 2010 | at Houston | UCF 40, Houston 33 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.