Temple @ South Florida

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Temple 17, South Florida 13South Florida was favored by 5.5, and Temple covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

South Florida’s total yards were 141.9 higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 132 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 33.3 under expected.
South Florida had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
South Florida had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
South Florida had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
South Florida was 0.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 78th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−9.5 against the line this game.

Temple was 4.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 38th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+9.5 against the line this game.

In a conference game, South Florida’s carries were 8.0 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 under expected.
At home, South Florida’s carries were 7.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 under expected.
Temple had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
On the road, Temple’s points were 28.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.1 over expected.
In a conference game, Temple’s third-down conversion rate were 15.7% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.1% over expected.
Against an unranked opponent, Temple’s carries were 8.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.0 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.