Temple @ Navy

Sat, Nov 7 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

The line has it Navy 31, Temple 24.Navy −7.5, total 54.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Temple at Navy: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Temple8 games	Navy8 games
	−5.8	−0.9
	+2.1	+2.0
	−10	+23
	+45	−7
	−0.7	+0.1
	+8.6	+29.0
	+0.1%	−0.3%
	−1.0	+0.1
	−17.0	−10.5
	−0.7	−0.7
	−0.1	+0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Navy

Navy is 2.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 98th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Temple

Temple is 2.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 95th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

Navy leads the series 11–9 since 1988. Navy has won the last 2. Navy has won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Navy has won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
Navy is 1–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
At home, Navy’s carries are 19.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Temple has lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →
Temple is 3–1–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Without Ajani Sheppard, Temple’s points are 9.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
On the road, Temple’s penalty yards are 28.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 11, 2025	at Temple	Navy 32, Temple 31
Sep 7, 2024	at Navy	Navy 38, Temple 11
Nov 4, 2023	at Temple	Temple 32, Navy 18
Oct 29, 2022	at Navy	Navy 27, Temple 20
Nov 27, 2021	at Temple	Navy 38, Temple 14
Oct 10, 2020	at Navy	Navy 31, Temple 29
Oct 13, 2018	at Navy	Temple 24, Navy 17
Nov 2, 2017	at Temple	Temple 34, Navy 26
Dec 3, 2016	at Navy	Temple 34, Navy 10
Sep 6, 2014	at Temple	Navy 31, Temple 24

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.