Putting Up Numbers· college football

Syracuse @ UConn

Sat, Oct 3, 2026

Syracuse 42, UConn 41Syracuse was favored by 6.5, and UConn covered.

Syracuse at UConn: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSyracuse1 gameUConn1 game
Points+18.9+12.3
Points allowed+9.8+17.3
Total offense, yards+134+134
Total defense, yards+96+127
Touchdowns+3.1+2.5
Passer rating+52.5+4.0
Third downs+21.2%−13.7%
Sacks+0.2−0.2
Penalty yards+28.9+9.9
Turnovers forced+0.7+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

UConn

Syracuse

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

UConn

  • UConn was 10.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 15th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+5.5 against the line this game.

Syracuse

  • Syracuse was 5.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 34th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−5.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Syracuse leads the series 7–6 since 2005. Syracuse has won the last 7.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • UConn had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • At home, UConn’s rushing yards were 137.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 45.2 over expected.
  • Syracuse had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Syracuse had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, Syracuse’s passing yards were 87.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 17.3 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 3, 2026at UConnSyracuse 42, UConn 41
Sep 6, 2025at SyracuseSyracuse 27, UConn 20
Nov 23, 2024at SyracuseSyracuse 31, UConn 24
Sep 10, 2022at UConnSyracuse 48, UConn 14
Sep 22, 2018at SyracuseSyracuse 51, UConn 21
Sep 24, 2016at UConnSyracuse 31, UConn 24
Oct 19, 2012at SyracuseSyracuse 40, UConn 10
Nov 5, 2011at UConnUConn 28, Syracuse 21
Nov 20, 2010at SyracuseUConn 23, Syracuse 6
Nov 28, 2009at UConnUConn 56, Syracuse 31

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.