Purdue @ 
Illinois
Purdue 24, Illinois 17Illinois was favored by 9.5, and Purdue covered.
| a game | Purdue1 game | Illinois1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 0.0 | −18.5 |
| Points allowed | −12.5 | −1.0 |
| Total offense, yards | −23 | −92 |
| Total defense, yards | −52 | −5 |
| Touchdowns | −1.0 | −2.2 |
| Passer rating | +18.0 | −26.3 |
| Third downs | +5.0% | +10.5% |
| Sacks | −0.4 | −2.4 |
| Penalty yards | +6.3 | −10.3 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.3 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −0.2 |
Who put up numbers
Illinois
- Passing yardsKatin Houser225 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsKatin Houser2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsAidan Laughery49 rushing yards
Purdue
Analysis
Illinois
- Illinois was 2.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 87th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−16.5 against the line this game.
Purdue
- Purdue was 5.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 106th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+16.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Purdue leads the series 48–47–6 since 1892.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Illinois had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Illinois had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- In a conference game, Illinois’ total yards were 166.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 124.1 under expected.
- At home, Illinois’ carries were 7.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.2 under expected.
- Purdue had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Purdue had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- On the road, Purdue’s passing yards were 232.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.8 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Purdue’s passing yards were 158.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.8 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | at Illinois | Purdue 24, Illinois 17 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | at Purdue | Illinois 43, Purdue 27 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | at Illinois | Illinois 50, Purdue 49 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | at Purdue | Purdue 44, Illinois 19 |
| Nov 12, 2022 | at Illinois | Purdue 31, Illinois 24 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | at Purdue | Purdue 13, Illinois 9 |
| Oct 31, 2020 | at Illinois | Purdue 31, Illinois 24 |
| Oct 26, 2019 | at Purdue | Illinois 24, Purdue 6 |
| Oct 13, 2018 | at Illinois | Purdue 46, Illinois 7 |
| Nov 4, 2017 | at Purdue | Purdue 29, Illinois 10 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.